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Chapter 201: What's in the Rabbit's Pocket

On March 18, 20xx, the engine ground interview countdown was 64 hours.

On the other side of the sea, an urgent enlarged meeting is being held. In addition to the people from the Strategic Analysis Office, there are also many experts and scholars in related fields who are also invited to participate.

Their meeting only has one topic this time, which is to analyze the latest decrypted project information of the Huaxia Huacai project team, formulate response strategies, and prepare for the upcoming negotiations of the Nantianmen project.

The first person to speak was a scholar named Jeni in the expert group. He is over 60 years old and is a veteran expert in the field of aerospace engineering. He has outstanding features in both technology and overall vision.

"Well, everyone has already understood the situation. The other party's flower carpet project team has disclosed their latest progress."

"According to the public information, they have completed the first phase goal of the Nantianmen project and the Huajiao project, which is to successfully trial-produce the first commercial aviation engine with a large bypass ratio."

"At present, we still know nothing about the parameters and performance of this engine, but according to the laws of technological progress and the other party's inherent technical basis, I have some of the following judgments here."

After a few words, Jeni picked up the coffee cup and took a sip, then continued to speak:

"First of all, I think the other party's engine is not a surface project, but a mature industrial product that can be used in practice and has even reached mass production. This is beyond doubt."

"I think everyone here may say that with the other party's technical strength, it is impossible to create a mature large bypass engine in such a short time, but what I want to tell you is that our intelligence system has basically not taken effect on China, so we don't know that they have loaded a few bullets in their guns that are hidden in their pockets without showing their presence."

"We should consider the worst case, and preset that their pockets are a large-caliber Colt pistol filled with six rounds."

"Only in this way can we deal with the unexpected situations that may occur later with the highest vigilance."

"Do you have any different opinions on this view?"

Jeni looked around, and as he expected, no one in the entire venue shook his head, which made him feel a little relieved.

In recent years, although their vigilance towards the other party has greatly improved, their technical contempt for them has never changed. These old people who are lying on the credit book always think that they still have the most advanced technology in the world and the technological hegemony of the whole world. However, they never thought that this situation had changed quietly a long time ago.

Now, under the several consecutive impacts of China, this situation has improved to a certain extent.

This is a good thing.

Only by recognizing your own problems can you continue to move forward.

After a moment, he continued:

"The above is my first inference. This inference is based on non-technical level. What I want to talk about next will be a technical judgment."

"At present, the other party has several bottlenecks in the field of aviation engines, which are: materials, processing processes and processes, assembly technology and simulation technology."

"As a scholar, from my technical experience, the most likely breakthroughs between these bottlenecks are materials and simulation technology. The breakthroughs in these two aspects will also greatly improve their technical level in the field of aerospace engineering."

"As we all know, the other party currently has a disclosed cj-1000ax large bypass ratio engine project, with a target thrust of 25 tons."

"So, after superimposing the impact of technological breakthroughs, I think the engine thrust of the other party's project this time should be between 30 and 50 tons, and the maximum will not exceed 50 tons."

"This is my judgment based on the objective laws of technological development. Although this thrust seems not advanced, I would also like to remind you that our most advanced ge-9x commercial aviation engine has a peak thrust of only 80 tons."

"And it took us only ten years to break from 40 tons to 80 tons."

"That means that the gap between the other party's aeroengine technology and us has narrowed from 30 years to 10 years, and the actual time they have spent is actually less than 5 years."

"So, based on the above two judgments, my suggestion is that we should actively cooperate with each other within a limited range and not mind the gains and losses of interests in a short period of time."

"As long as we can reach cooperation, it means that we can at least develop in sync with each other and keep the gap in the last decade no longer shortened."

Guzi

"That's my suggestion, do you have any disagreements?"

Jenny looked around again, this time, one hand was raised.

He is Eisen, the head of this Strategic Analysis Office.

After confirming that he could speak, Eisen said in a somewhat low voice:

"Mr. Jenny, I respect and believe in your professionalism, but, from my intuition, you may have underestimated the other party this time."

"Do you remember our last failure on the chip? At that time, we also thought that the other party's technology was not much ahead of the curve, but what happened? They came out with 3nm technology, and we were caught off guard by the other party because we were not prepared enough."

"How much market has we lost on chips? Do we have to make the same mistake again?"

After hearing his words, Jenny sighed.

This Eisen was probably scared by the other party.

He was still too young. After one or two failures, his mentality had changed, and he even began to talk about his so-called intuition at such an important meeting.

This is definitely not something a decision maker should do.

Thinking of this, Jenny spoke:

"Eisen, I understand your concerns, but I also want to remind you that aero engines and chips are completely different. The latter may also lead to major development and progress due to a intensive technological breakthrough for a while, but it is absolutely impossible in the field of aero engines."

"As I said, they may have made breakthroughs in one aspect, but what about the others? Turbine fan blade design, thermal insulation TBC coating, structural strength design, assembly process, and even tolerance control, thermal component design, all of which require rich experience and technical accumulation to achieve."

"Even if I handed them a drawing now, do you think they can copy the engine? It's impossible."

"They need to have hot and cold bimorph diagrams, manufacturing documents, material distribution documents, fan blade construction models... In short, there are too many indicators that affect the performance of an engine, and I don't believe they can make a breakthrough at one time."

"So, I still stick to my point of view, that is, the other party may have made great progress, but this progress will not reach a level that can affect our dominance, so we cannot preset too many resources and conditions for subsequent negotiations."

"As I said, we can imagine that the other party's pocket is a Colt revolver filled with bullets, but we can't imagine that the m416 assault rifle is in the pocket, because no pocket can hold the rifle, which is an objective rule."

After hearing what Jenny said, Eisen shook his head again.

He wanted to say something to refute, but he couldn't find the argument for a while, so he had to say unwillingly:

"Maybe, they can not only pull out pistols, rifles from their pockets, but also anti-tank missiles?"

As soon as he said this, everyone in the venue laughed.

No one really listens to his advice with all his heart. In the eyes of these people, he is like a fool who is worried that the stars will fall and the ocean will roll back.

Aisen sighed and fell silent again.

He no longer has the spirit of competing for justice.

He has finished speaking in the few words just now.

Since no one listens, he has no other way.
Chapter completed!
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