In the evening, Zhang Wen bought some cooked dishes, beer, snacks, and prepared to watch the ball in the middle of the night, Spain vs. Honduras.

In order to compensate for the failure of this football betting, the online "Sweeping the World" is a key recommendation for Honduras. The handicap is to acquire two goals/two and a half goals, and the recommended score is 2:0. And we also swear that Spain will never win more than two goals, which makes fans boldly bet.

This is basically consistent with Zhang Wen's judgment: if you allow more than two goals to bet, if you allow two goals, you will have a high possibility of water flowing.

Zhang Wen looked at the odds offered by major casinos on the football betting page, and saw that Spain's odds against Honduras were two goals/two and a half goals, but Honduras' water level was too low, only 1.66. If Spain wins two goals, it can only win half of 0.66 or 0.33. Even if it shoots 100, it may only win 33 yuan in the next set. Look at the odds of 2:0 in the score, it is only 4.5.

The casino has 4,500 yuan in funds, which is almost all the available funds. I gritted my teeth and took out the 900 yuan profit in the past five days, 800 yuan to suppress the market, and 100 yuan to score 2:0. If I lose, I will go online tomorrow to greet the eight generations of his ancestors.

I slept until almost 11 o'clock, and woke up naturally. I was in a good mood. I saw the live broadcast last night at around 4 o'clock, and sure enough, Spain was 2:0.

Open the casino account and the profit has arrived. Bet on Honduras 800 (two goals/two and a half goals, 1.66) and make 264 yuan; bet on 100 yuan score 2:0. Make a profit of 350 yuan, and the account funds are now more than 5,100 yuan. Open the football lottery website, the first prize is vacant. "Sweep the World" won a second prize of 420,000 yuan, and the loss is 800,000 yuan. According to the 50% guarantee, "Sweep the World" himself lost 400,000 yuan, and the remaining 400,000 yuan was digested by lottery players who bought it in accordance with the order. Zhang Wen's 40 yuan came back 13 yuan. Zhang Wen won 7 games in his own 16 yuan small duplex.

Last night's heavy bet recommendation of "Sweep the World" made many people win money, so the Internet is very lively today. There are rolling bonuses in this issue. Lottery friends are very enthusiastic about the betting of football lottery in the next issue. "Sweep the World" said that the betting of about 1 million in the next issue, and predicted that it is still a lot of unpopular. Lottery friends are also excited and want to increase the betting amount.

Zhang Wen looked at the situation of the next issue and was not optimistic. The betting volume of "sweeping the world" was too large, and following orders would not make a lot of money. However, this betting is beneficial to the initiator of joint purchases. The frequent winnings make the stars and crowns behind the initiator's name continue to increase, which is easy to attract more followers.

I took my daughter out for KFC at noon, but I couldn't figure out that children like to eat this fast food. Seeing her daughter satisfied, I felt very satisfied. My daughter has always been the softest part of Zhang Wen's heart. I talked and laughed with her daughter, and sometimes made a noise, which is really enjoyable. Unfortunately, it's only limited to the daughters, and my wife is now like a stranger...

Well, what will my daughter think if she divorces? My daughter is almost 12 years old. In two years and then she will have her own ideas and choices. Let’s talk about it later. It’s better to focus on now and turn your situation around first...

In the afternoon, Zhang Wen washed his clothes and hanged them out. During this period, he vacuumed the house, mopped the floor and did housework. Anyway, Zhang Wen did what he should do. Then, he read books and did the questions, and his wife washed and cut the vegetables for dinner. Zhang Wen took the spoon. There was no way for his daughter to like to eat the dishes cooked by Zhang Wen. The power of fatherly love is great. For the sake of his daughter's happiness, Zhang Wen's cooking level has been constantly improving. Sometimes he checked the way to cook some dishes online. The improvement in cooking skills made Zhang Wen feel proud from time to time...

In the evening, Zhang Wen began to study a new round of football lottery and found that this issue of football lottery 310 is very difficult to place, and there is no special thing in the odds. He simply stopped buying this issue and bought 20 yuan with "Sweeping the World". Sure enough, this time, a domineering order of 1.6 million yuan was quite a lot of buyers, and the purchase progress has reached 75%. It seems that "Sweeping the World" is still very popular.

I also saw a betting order called "Huangliang Revival Dream" in the same shopping area. The total amount was 120,000 yuan, and the minimum guaranteed 50%. Looking at his past record, he won the second prize twice, and the total prize amount was 670,000 yuan. Moreover, the betting amount was not large, less than 50,000 yuan. It seems that this boss is a betting type. The betting amount this time is quite large, and Zhang Wen also bought 10 yuan, wanting to see how his betting order was bought.

Let’s study a single game. In fact, the study of odds is not very helpful to football lottery, because the data on the spot can only be seen in the changes. Football lottery was bought a few days ago. Moreover, the article analyzes more often on Asian handicaps, and for buying football lottery, it is more useful to analyze the odds changes in European handicaps.

Zhang Wen found that the main idea of ​​analyzing odds for a long time is to compare the odds, water levels of each casino, and analyze various factors of the team, and then make a judgment, but the effect is not ideal, and the winner is about 55% and the winner is about 50%. Of course, Zhang Wen generally bets in Asian handicaps, and a 50% winning rate is definitely a loss, because the average water level is only 0.9. The winning rate of the Asian handicap must reach more than 55% to make a profit.

How can we increase the winning rate? We need to change our thinking, profit, profit, and the profit of the casino. The profit of the casino is calculated by changing the betting amount, odds, and water level, so as to see the casino's foresight and judgment of the game. So how do we know the betting amount and the betting amount of each time period? No one can tell you this number.

Zhang Wen thought of a solution: no matter how much bet, it will be divided into 10,000 shares. For a game, the initial market will be opened 20 days before the game. Zhang Wen calculates the initial market as the first record point, and then calculates the average odds from the initial market time to the 10 days before the game as a record point, and then calculates a record point every day from the 10 days before the game. Then the closer it is to the game record point, and the corresponding increase is. On the day before the game, it increases to 20 record points. A total of 60 record points are set. The betting share of each record point is different. The closer it is to the game, the larger the betting share, and the betting share of the day before the game is set to 60%. Then calculate the profit situation of each record point.

Simple example: Initial draw, upper hand: 0.9, lower hand: 0.9. Then the profit of the casino at this record point is 0.1 on the upper hand, plus lower hand 0.1, which is equal to 0.2. Of course, it is impossible to be that simple. It also needs to consider what the change is, what will happen if the water level drops, and how the bet amount should change. It is also necessary to calculate the upper hand, the profit status of the casino, the profit status of the casino, and the profit status of the casino.

Moreover, the current allocation of bets is assumed by oneself, and it must be calculated in reverse based on the results of the competition. Zhang Wen listed this idea in a tree-like directory on paper. Good luck, it is simply a huge project!

I sort out my ideas today and use excel to design a table tomorrow and I can experiment. Hehe, rogues are educated and can’t stop them even in the casino.
Chapter completed!