Chapter 35 Embarrassing hegemony
The Republic is really the same. In the dispute over the island of Malaya, the United States has been ambiguous for decades!!
To trace the root of the source, the United States' "Latin American policy" must start with "Monroeism".
The so-called "Monroeism" narrowly refers to the early years of the old century. Because of the Napoleon War, the Spanish colonial system on the New World collapsed. The new republic established in the wave of Latin American independence guided by José de Saint-Martin and Simon Bolivar wanted to be recognized by the United States. Many people in the United States recognized this idea and gradually formed due to this influence. The United States' policy of foreign expansion first proposed by the first President James Monroe. "Monroeism has three prominent characteristics. First, European countries can no longer use any reason. To turn American states into colonies, the second is to exercise American principles in foreign policy, that is, the United States only intervenes in European affairs on the premise that its own interests are damaged, and the third is that the United States regards any attempt to colonize America as a threat to national security. US President Roosevelt also added a statement: Be kind, but with a big stick, the "big stick policy" comes from this. It can be seen that although the "Monroeism" is under the banner of helping Latin American colonies fight for democracy and freedom, it is ultimately to safeguard the interests of the United States and is naked hegemony.
"How much influence does Monroeism have on the United States? Perhaps it is not too much to describe it.
It can be said that the "Monroeism" not only laid the foundation for the United States to join the ranks of the great powers, but also the guiding program for the United States' foreign policy in the next hundred years until the United States participated in World War I. It is no exaggeration to say that the solid foundation laid by "Monroeism" has decisive significance for the United States to become a superpower.
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In fact, the "Monroeism" also made the United States' attitude towards Latin America re-establishment.
The United States did not become the second "Empire that never sets". Since the Spanish-American War at the end of the old century, the United States' land area has never expanded again, and is closely related to "Monroeism".
Under the influence of "Monroeism, many of the US policies are difficult to understand by the outside world.
For example: After the US-Mexico War, Mexico once demanded annexation of the United States; in anyone's opinion, annexation of Mexico can not only bring millions of square kilometers of land to the undeveloped and growing United States, but also bring a much-needed population and consolidate the United States' hegemony in the Western Hemisphere, without any reason to refuse; in fact, the United States did refuse, and refused very decisively without any hesitation. For example, after the Spanish-American War, the United States did not annex Cuba, nor even treat the Philippines, which was also stolen from Spain. , turning Cuba into a colony of the United States. Instead, allowing Cuba to gain independence, laying the groundwork for becoming a major concern for the United States in a few years; it can be said that this is completely incomprehensible; if the annexation of Mexico will change the political structure of the United States, allowing the forces supporting slavery to exceed those opposing slavery, causing the United States to miss the industrial revolution and seriously damage the interests of New England capitalists who dominate the United States, then the annexation of Cuba not only does not have these problems, but can also bring indescribable benefits to the United States, which is in a golden period of development.
Even when it came to the "Post Monroeism Era", the United States participated in World War I after World War I, Mao Jing violated "Monroeism", so many American historians regarded World War I as the turning point of US foreign policy, "Monroeism". "Monroeism still had a huge impact on US foreign policy.
Not to mention anything else, in the century, under the leadership of "Dicttor Chavez, Little Dictor, Venezuela unscrupulously embarked on the road to confront the United States. Not only did it nationalize the assets of American companies in Venezuela, it also banned the export of oil and other resources to the United States. Venezuela is an OPEC member, and it is also the world's largest heavy oil reserve and an important oil exporter. However, the United States did not send troops to overthrow Chavez like he did against Saddam, but adopted a very rare tolerant attitude. It lasted for decades without any change!
From these examples, it can be seen that the United States’ “Latin American policy” is indeed very complicated.
Take things related to Argentina as an example. During the Cambridge War in the Year of the Year, the United States did not formally support Britain, and even actively mediated between the two countries. It is hoped that the two sides will resolve the issue through peaceful negotiations.
If you put aside the appearance, you can find that the United States’ “Latin American policy” has an invisible red line.
To put it simply, whether the interests of the United States are damaged. As long as the interests of the United States are not damaged, no matter what the Latin American countries do or how they do, the United States will not intervene. On the contrary, the United States will use its thunderous military actions to make the Latin American countries that dare to challenge, to be precise, the regimes of the Latin American countries will be destroyed. The so-called "American interests," is very different from what is commonly said. Influenced by the special relationship between the United States and Latin American countries, the "American interests" here refer to major events that the American people can understand, or that can become the reason for the US government to launch military operations. The Panama President, who was ignorant of the sky and the earth, attempted to regain the jurisdiction of the canal, and the corrupt Colombian government condoned the power of drug lords, all became legitimate reasons for the United States to take military actions.
I love ugly
There is no doubt that on the issue of the Cambodian Islands, the United States has no "just reason".
Although American politicians all know that if the Cavaliers really have rare metal minerals with amazing reserves, the Cavaliers' ownership issue will have a huge impact on the world pattern and thus affect the national interests of the United States. However, in the eyes of ordinary Americans, no matter how the Cavaliers' issue ends, it cannot belong to the United States. Therefore, the resources on the Cavaliers' island have no direct relationship with the United States. There is no military horse.
The key is here, otherwise the United States would not have been "shy" and never expressed its attitude.
It can be said that the situation in the United States is very embarrassing.
If the situation was the same as many years ago, the United States would not have to worry about anything. Even if Argentina brazenly launched a war, it would have lost a lot. At most, Britain would mobilize many troops to teach Argentina, which was not very obedient in the South Atlantic. It would not involve the United States or have much impact on the interests of the United States.
The problem is that Argentina is now not Argentina many years ago.
According to Tian's assessment, even if the Republic does not intervene in the Cabernet Island dispute and only provides intelligence assistance to Argentina, Britain's chances of winning in the Second Cabernet Island War will not exceed 50%. Because Argentina adopts a large number of weapons and equipment from the Republic, especially its two-class submarines come from the Republic. Therefore, the possibility of the Republic sending submarines to war during the war cannot be ruled out. Although the United States can also do the same and send submarines to assist the British Expeditionary Fleet in combat, it is limited by the actual situation of the warring parties. The significance of the United States' move is far less than that of the Republic. The reason is very simple. Argentina's main combat force is not the navy, let alone the surface fleet, but the air force. The situation in the United Kingdom is completely opposite, and the expeditionary fleet is the only one.
Military power that can be used. In this way, the greatest value of American submarines is to escort the British expeditionary fleet, performing defensive tasks, while Republican submarines perform attack missions. As we all know, submarines are good at ambush attack forces, rather than guarding defensive forces. What's more, the climate conditions in the South Atlantic are very harsh, which is not only very suitable for submarine combat. It is also difficult to salvage the sunken ships. In other words, even if the submarines of the US Navy can kill several Republican submarines in battle, it is difficult to obtain conclusive evidence, and at most they can be left alone. In general, the United States' situation is extremely embarrassing, and it is not only difficult to prevent the Republic from helping Argentina in a way that is not visible. It is not very meaningful to send troops to fight.
There are many people who understand this truth, including Pei Chengyi's old rival, former US Secretary of Defense Du Qiwei.
Duqiwei, who is the national security adviser in the White House, is already a national security adviser. In fact, being a national security adviser has a significant significance for Duqiwei. First, he has officially got rid of his military status and became an absolute politician, because according to the tradition of the United States, the security adviser who specializes in providing defense opinions and suggestions to the president cannot be a soldier, but can only be a civilian official. Second, he entered the "mainstream society" of the United States, although the Secretary of Defense respected him,
However, influenced by the US political system, the Secretary of Defense is often a victim of the struggles of major interest groups, or a bargaining chip in exchange of interests; Duchewi is able to become Secretary of Defense, to a large extent the result of the struggles of American interest groups; in this case, the Secretary of Defense has very limited influence and it is difficult to become an important figure in the decision-making level of American interest groups; national security advisers are completely different, not only can influence the president, but also participate in decision-making work on major matters. There are very high places in the decision-making circle.
What has not changed is the US President, who won the second term.
If Ducheway deserves his reputation as a national security adviser, then Brandino is basically lucky to defeat the Republican candidate by a narrow margin in the election.
Before the election, almost everyone believed that the Democratic Party, which had been in power for three consecutive terms, would lose the election. In fact, even the Democratic Party was not optimistic. The reason is very simple. In the Indian War ended on the same website, the federal government led by Branbu None did not realize the "American interests" but instead caused the United States to lose an extremely important ally. Before the election began, the Republican Party used this to build momentum and claimed that the cowardly Democratic Party had betrayed the United States' national interests in international affairs. If it made mistakes again and again, it would inevitably make the United States a third-rate country.
In this situation, even if Brandino is extremely talented in politics, he can only talk about it in a cliché and use economic development to attract votes. According to previous practice, when the economy improves, American voters will pay more attention to the international status and international interests of the United States, rather than putting economic development first. Because the Great Depression has long receded, the US economy has developed steadily for many years under the governance of the Democratic Party. Therefore, in the eyes of many people, unless Brandon can bring out the more attractive slogan of competition, the Democratic Party will definitely lose the election.
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The election result surprised everyone, and the choices made by American voters through actions truly reflect the problems faced by the United States.
In the words of Brandino in his personal biography: American voters chose the Democratic Party again in the Year of the Injury rather than the Republican Party that holds high the banner of "defending national interests", which shows that more than half of Americans are very clear about the situation of the United States and know that if they want to restore the international community of the United States, the most important thing to do is not to expand externally, but to consolidate the foundation; this choice shows that the United States at this time is no longer the United States four years ago. With the change of the international situation, the United States' international status has also changed. The United States must adjust its national strategy to adapt to new challenges.
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In any case, the biggest problem facing the United States is that the United States is no longer the most powerful country in the world.
Although no one denies that economic strength is only part of the country's comprehensive strength, and in the competition of big countries, economic strength is not the most important decisive factor, no one denies that economic strength is the number one yardstick for measuring the country and is the most direct reflection of national strength. In fact, since human history entered the industrial age, economic strength is that when the country leads the world, the total economic output has been surpassed by other countries in the world, and has not even been threatened.
Now the US has fallen from the altar and is no longer the country with the largest economic output.
From the standpoint of Americans, you can feel how much impact this change has.
Not to mention anything else, at least in dozens of countries, "Americans" are no longer an extremely noble title.
If we consider the decline of the United States in terms of military power, technological strength, cultural influence, financial and other aspects, American voters abandon the Republican Party that holds high the banner of expansion and choose the Democratic Party that actively promotes economic development is a response to changes in the United States' basic national conditions and a choice to make for the future development of the United States.
Faced with such national conditions, Brandino had to handle the Cabernet dispute more carefully.
After receiving the hotline from Prime Minister George, Brandino held a high-level cabinet meeting to solicit opinions from several cabinet members, including Duchwiway.
The results are not optimistic.
After a few hours of debate, there was only less than the thugs and reached an agreement.
There is no doubt that the main members of the U.S. federal government have not been consistent in their attitudes towards the Cabernet Island dispute.
In fact, it is impossible to be consistent.
Not to mention anything else, there are different opinions on how many rare metal minerals there are in the Cambridge Island. The top leaders of the United States have different opinions.
According to the standard company's non-public exploration results submitted to the State Council, although the proven reserves are not large, and even due to factors such as dispersed storage and difficulty in mining, they do not have economic mining value for the time being, but the long-term reserves are that they may exist, and the undisclosed reserves are likely to exceed everyone's imagination and are likely to have mining value within the future to the old year.
If this is true, the United States has no reason to abandon Britain.
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However, according to the secret investigation report submitted by Tian, the exploration report of Standard Company is not reliable, because Standard Company is likely to be influenced by the arms interest groups. More importantly, Standard Company itself has an arms enterprise background. Among its major shareholders, there are old people who also hold shares in the arms enterprise, and 6 of them are major shareholders of the arms enterprise. In other words, if Standard Company’s report is not true, this is a shocking conspiracy to help the arms enterprise open up sales and deliberately create a regional war.
There is no doubt that American politicians all have backgrounds as interest groups.
Under this circumstance, it is not surprising that senior U.S. federal government officials have serious differences on basic concepts.
Relatively speaking, whether it is Branmanno or Duchwi, they believe in the investigation report more. The two are well aware of the means of interest groups. Many years ago, in order to control oil, American interest groups could direct a war and send Saddam to the gallows. Now, in order to sell arms, American interest groups can still direct a war and drive Theron out of Argentina. The difference is that many years ago, no force could fight against American interest groups; now, American interest groups can no longer do whatever they want. This difference determines the ultimate fate of the United States. If the Iraq War many years ago caused the United States to lose tens of thousands of soldiers and hundreds of thousands of dollars, then the current Cabernet War will make the United States lose hope of revival.
If you see the essence clearly, Brandino will not act rashly.
After the cabinet meeting failed to reach a consensus, Brandino talked to Duchiway several times, hoping that Duchiway could play a more important role in this matter.
In his own position, Ducheway did not refuse the president's request.
As a national security adviser, although Duchwie only has the power to provide advice and advice to the president and cannot mobilize federal resources like cabinet officials, as the person closest to the president, national security advisers can often use the president's authorization to obtain power far exceeding that of cabinet ministers. Generally speaking, no official is willing to offend the big celebrities around the president, and will regard the advisor's orders as the president's orders.
In other words, Duchewei has a great influence.
Within a few days, Duchway did several very important things. First, let the Fourth re-invest the exploration results of the Standard Company and re-submit a more detailed investigation report, including the Standard Company's interest network and government officials involved in the exploration incident. Second, let the Pentagon evaluate the UK's military strength and submit an evaluation report for existing defects. This must include the response measures the United States can take. Third, let the Fourth, and several other intelligence agencies take joint action. An assessment is made on the possibility of the Republic's intervention in the Cabernet conflict, and the impact of various possible situations can be clearly mentioned in the assessment.
Of course, these are not the most important things.
I love Zhao Huan'er,
When accepting the president's arrangement, Duchiwei mentioned that what should be paid the most is not Argentina's challenge, nor whether the Republic will intervene in the Cabernets dispute, but how much role Pei Chengyi, who was hired as Argentina's highest military adviser, could play. Or whether he could command the Argentine army to fight like he was in command of the Republic's army!
Branmanuo also knew Pei Chengyi's excellence, so he attached great importance to Du Qiwei's suggestions.
Chapter completed!