After 3 days.

Since Li Cunxun replaced Pan Yunsheng as the head of the Military Intelligence Bureau, the relevant information has gradually been declassified, and the mysterious veil has been unveiled layer by layer. The true face of the Military Intelligence Bureau has been revealed to the world. According to the international community, in the field of national security, the Military Intelligence Bureau is a well-deserved "number one intelligence agency." Its strength is far beyond four, and it has been more than Western intelligence agencies. Even so, the Military Intelligence Bureau is not omnipotent.

After 3 days, the Military Intelligence Bureau's gains were very limited.

Because the STO Group summit was of great significance, Li Cunxun did not let Liu Xiaobin take on the heavy responsibility alone and personally deployed the work of collecting relevant information.

Based on the reality, if you want to get information related to the South Atlantic, the best choice is to find a breakthrough in the UK.

It was not until the sunset in March, the fifth day after the STO Group summit that the Military Intelligence Agency obtained the important information needed from the UK.

On the same day, the relevant information was delivered to Pei Chengyi through the channels arranged by Liu Xiaobin.

Because Tibian received a call from Liu Xiaobin, Pei Chengyi was not shocked after receiving the information.

For anyone else, the information sent by the Military Intelligence Bureau is shocking enough.

Britain is preparing for the war!

According to the intelligence provided by the MIIS, after returning to London, George once again contacted the heads of several major EU member states and sent the Foreign Minister and the Secretary of Defense to attend the "European Diplomacy and Security Conference" held in Brussels on March 2018 during which time he held closed-door consultations with ministers of several other countries. Although the MIIS failed to obtain sufficient persuasive intelligence from the British Foreign Ministry and the Ministry of Defense, he obtained a piece of intelligence that was enough to make Li Cunxun judge through a "Drug Rat" inserted in the French Foreign Ministry. That is, when the British Foreign Minister met with the French Foreign Minister, he clearly stated that if tensions in the South Atlantic evolved into conflict or war, he hoped that France could provide diplomatic support, at least as in the last Cabernet War, he should maintain a neutral position towards Britain in a biased manner.

If that's the case, Li Cunxun wouldn't let Liu Xiaobin contact Pei Chengyi urgently.

After the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs made a breakthrough, the Military Intelligence Agency made progress in Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and other countries and obtained several similar pieces of information. Although Li Cunxun never doubted the capabilities of the Military Intelligence Agency agents, he never overestimated the capabilities of the agents. After all, he was once the most powerful spy of the Military Intelligence Agency. More importantly, several important pieces of information were "ghost rats." They were delivered to their doorsteps on their own initiative, and their credibility remains to be found in Shangzhi.

Given Li Cunxun's understanding of intelligence work, he could not have doubts.

If you have doubts, you will naturally take action.

In response to this situation, Li Cunxun's first reaction was to make a breakthrough in the UK, and only first-hand information could prove the UK's attempt.

Until several intelligence thugs were sacrificed, the truth was finally placed in front of Li Cunxun.

In fact, the truth is not complicated.

Before contacting European countries, he warned the British Prime Minister that "continental countries were once too close to the Republic in the process of political integration and had long become the target of the Military Intelligence Agency's key infiltration, so any information conveyed to "continental countries" may fall into the hands of the Military Intelligence Agency. The British government did not avoid the problem, but used this problem and deliberately disclosed this information through European countries.

The point is, the information itself is not wrong.

Actively contacting European countries and hoping to obtain support from the EU shows that Britain is preparing for war. In fact, Britain is indeed preparing for war!

The information obtained from the UK proves Li Cunxun's speculation.

The British government is not playing conspiracy, but open conspiracy.

After George returned to London, he immediately signed a secret executive order, approved the special budget for the year, and increased the budget from the initial 800 million yuan to the meritorious billion yuan. It increased the full amount of money. Although it was nothing strange for Britain to increase the special budget mainly for intelligence agencies before the outbreak of the war. However, no matter how it counted, several British intelligence agencies did not need so many special budgets. In other words, the British government took advantage of the opaque special budget to prepare for war through intelligence agencies.

In Liu Xiaobin's words, a large part of the new special budget fell into the hands of arms companies.

Of course, the special budget is not war expenses, nor is it used to purchase arms.

A prominent feature of modern warfare is the shocking consumption. Not to mention war, a conflict of limited size can consume all the fiscal revenue of a moderately developed country in a year. Taking the conflict in southern Tibet as an example, in this conflict with limited size, the expenditure of the Republic's army exceeded that of the thugs, and the weekly consumption could not be exceeded. It is not realistic to use it to purchase arms. According to the British defense budget, a special budget of 700 million yuan can only purchase up to 8 warships or fighter jets, which is not enough to form an aircraft carrier battle group. Besides, the production and construction of weapons and equipment have a certain cycle. If a war breaks out soon, unless the country mobilizes the war, it will be too late to purchase arms in the normal way.

Mu Yong doubted that this special budget was not meaningless, but meaningful.

Liu Xiaobin clearly mentioned on the phone that Li Cunxun had concluded based on this situation that Britain was already conducting a limited war mobilization.

In other words, the UK will make adjustments to the defense and military industry.

Most of the Miyi Special Budget will be used to support arms companies to improve their production capacity.

Here, already

The British government can understand this move only when only considering the basic national conditions of the UK and not taking into account external factors. As the five nuclear powers, the UK has a relatively complete defense industrial system. Even if we look at the world, the UK's military industry is not behind. The problem is that the UK's military industry has a fatal flaw, namely, a high "internationalization"

After the end of World War II, Britain attempted to restore the influence of the "Empire of the Sun" and proposed a "comprehensive revitalization strategy" to fighters. However, under the influence of cruel reality, not only did the Prime Minister who proposed the "Iron Curtain Policy" be driven out of the old Downing Street by voters, but Britain's "imperial dream" was shattered, and he took up the American chariot and became the most loyal ally of the United States. During the Cold War of the United States and the Soviet Union, according to the needs of the NATO group, the British military industrial system became an effective supplement to the United States, and achieved some achievements that the British have been very proud of today. For example, "Bombing the Harrier fighter invincible class aircraft carrier, small "challenger tank", etc. Entering the "post-Cold War period." Because the biggest external threat suddenly disappeared, not only did Britain's military industry lose its development direction, but Western countries represented by NATO also lost their goals. Affected by this, the military industry in the entire Western world shrank rapidly. In order to avoid the collapse of the national security system, European countries took the lead in "internationalization and integration of the huge military industrial system formed during the Cold War. Thanks to its strong basic strength, Britain, France and Germany became the winner of this "annexation movement". In the 2nd century, Britain's military industry has been fully "internationalized." Almost all military projects have a background of international cooperation. Even the design and construction of the "George V" class aircraft carrier, known as "the greatest military project in British history", was carried out in cooperation with France. Although France did not purchase the French version of the "Chilakh-class aircraft carrier "George V" class as promised, many key technologies came from France, and many contracts were subcontracted to French companies.

Since it is "international cooperation" naturally requires trade.

The problem is that Britain's military industry is huge in scale, but not independent enough.

In peacetime, this problem is not serious. After all, under the basic rules of the game, increasing international cooperation can not only reduce development risks and manufacturing costs, but also open up new markets and increase sales.

During the war, this problem was very serious.

Although in anyone's opinion, because Britain has an absolute advantage in the Cambridge dispute, it is definitely not Britain that provoked the war. Western countries have no reason to sanction "war victims" and are even more unlikely to use "military embargo to deal with Britain like they did when they were dealing with Argentina. However, as long as the war breaks out, no matter whether Britain is the "war victims." The foreign policies of Western countries such as the United States and France will be affected. In other words, if the international situation is not clear, these countries will definitely not publicly support Britain. In this way, Britain must be prepared for the war, that is, when many Western countries will not actively express their opinions, they rely on their own strength to lay the foundation for victory, thereby making the international situation clear.

To this end, Britain must strengthen the production capacity of the military industry before the war breaks out, that is, mobilize limited wars.

When it comes to war mobilization, there will be more trouble.

Not to mention anything else, if there are no definite benefits, no private arms company is willing to take risks with the government. In Li Cunxun's words, the British government must do one thing well to make all arms companies believe that if the war does not break out, it will not suffer any losses.

For this reason, the British government must show sincerity.

A special budget of 700 million yuan is the "sincerity" of the British government.

According to the intelligence collected by the Military Intelligence Bureau, in the special budget of 3 Daoyi, in addition to the thugs provided to intelligence agencies in accordance with regulations, Aoyi provided them to dozens of arms companies to recruit workers, train technical employees, start idle production lines, maintain some active equipment, provide technical support, etc.

No doubt, this is just the beginning.

In Liu Xiaobin's words, if Britain wants to make the most basic preparations before the outbreak of the war, it needs to invest in Qiangzhou B within at least a few months. In other words, the first investment in the lead is not enough to attract B.

The question is here, will Britain be ready before the war breaks out?

Although the Military Intelligence Bureau did not obtain conclusive evidence, Li Cunxun made the boldest judgment based on various signs.

In fact, even if Li Cunxun does not make a judgment, Pei Chengyi will make the same judgment.

Britain certainly believes that the war will break out within months.

There are mainly the following reasons. First, the British Prime Minister signed a special budget after returning to China, and the special budget invested by the jinduo billion was the key to starting the war preparations. Second, Britain sent a clear signal through European countries that Britain would never make concessions on the Prosperity Island issue, and even if a war broke out, Britain was confident of winning. Third, when Britain's actions were so positive, the United States has been silent, indicating that the United States has made a guarantee to help Britain with practical actions when necessary. Finally, European countries are willing to act as Britain's microphone, which not only shows that the Republic does not really want the negative role on the Prosperity Island issue, but also shows that European countries will not abandon Britain and reveal the contradictory mentality of European countries at a glance.

Li Cunxun asked Liu Xiaobin to contact Pei Chengyi in person, just to attract Pei Chengyi's attention.

Of course, the problem is not that simple.

For Pei Chengyi, the most troublesome thing is that he must make a decision on his own whether to disclose this extremely important information to the Argentine authorities. Which of the contents of the second swordsmanship are exposed to the Argentine authorities? Li Cunxun and Liu Xiaobin did not make a decision for Pei Chengyi, because they are not as familiar with the situation in Argentine as Pei Chengyi.

Pei Chengyi was not in a hurry to make a decision, and decided to first seek the opinions of several main assistants.

"If the Military Intelligence Agency's judgment is correct, Britain concluded that the war will break out within a few months, so the Argentine authorities should know this." Long Hongen put the lighter that had been in his hand for a long time in his pocket and said, "No matter what, this is the Argentine war, not our war. Only by letting the Argentine authorities know the information can Argentina be vigilant. Of course, being able to provide such important intelligence can also increase the influence and voice of the advisory group.

Pei Chengyi smiled and threw the cigarette box that Dongfang Wen put on the table to Long Hongen.

Although Pei Chengyi never forbids his subordinates to smoke in front of him, after all, he used to smoke and knew how painful it would be if he could not smoke in front of the leader, officers such as Long Hongen still followed the old habit and had to endure it unless they were clearly granted in front of Pei Chengyi.

"I think so, but I don't think everything should be revealed to the Argentine authorities." Hu Jingan took the cigarette handed over by Long Hongen and lit it and took two sips. He said, "It is necessary to warn the Argentine authorities, but this may not necessarily increase our influence and voice. After all, everyone knows that war will break out soon, and it is not a strange thing for Britain to prepare for war. If you do it too much, the Argentine authorities think that we are more eager to break out, thus questioning the role of the advisory group."

Pei Chengyi nodded slightly and turned his gaze to Young Master Yang

"That's true, the Argentine authorities have always not trusted us very much." Yang Shaoyong smiled bitterly and said, "Of course, there is reason to believe that Theron has regarded us as his own people, but the Argentine army, especially those generals, not only do not take us seriously. As Lao Hu said, we are pushing Argentina into the abyss of war. I think that even if we have to warn the Argentine authorities, we only need to disclose very limited information, and there is no need to make it clear. To put it in a general way, it is more likely to attract the attention of the Argentine authorities. After all, anyone will be in awe of mysterious things that cannot be understood. If the Argentine authorities can believe that we know much more than them, then the Argentine authorities will not, and it will not be possible to treat us as dispensable groups of people as they are now.

Pei Chengyi smiled and shook his head, and said to Dongfang Wen, who was sitting next to him, "What do you think?"

"Me?" Dongfang Wen was stunned, "Mr. Pei, let's forget about my opinion, I'm just

"Just talk casually, Pei Chengyi patted Dongfang Wen's shoulder and said, "You have performed so well in front of the Argentine president. You won't be stage frightened in front of us, right?"

Dongfang Wen smiled bitterly and quickly began to think.

As a civilian soldier, Dongfang Wen has never made an opinion at such an internal meeting of senior officers. The meaning of speech before the Argentine president is completely different, that is to represent the entire advisory group, not the individual. Now, the opinions are expressed in front of Pei Chengyi and others. That is to represent the individual. What determines the future is definitely the individual's performance and personal ability, not the ability of the entire collective. It would be strange if Dongfang Wen is not nervous.

Pei Chengyi did not urge him and waited patiently for a while.

"I agree with the opinions of several people, but I think there is no need to warn the Argentine authorities at all.

Pei Chengyi frowned slightly and signaled Dongfang Wen to continue speaking.

"It is not the British government that determines when the war breaks out, but the Argentine government." Dongfang Wen lit a cigarette, took a few sips, and said, "From the news we have obtained, the Argentine authorities have a very clear understanding of the situation. They know that in the early stages of the war, they only need to deal with Britain without considering third-party factors, and they also know that Britain has raised its police acceleratingly and will not participate in the war without any preparation. In other words, when Britain has already carried out active diplomacy, the Argentine authorities have no reason not to be vigilant.

In this way, we send a warning to be extravagant. According to my opinion, even if our warning is valued by the Argentine authorities, our influence and voice will not be increased. The angle is that to make the Argentine authorities, especially the Argentine military, pay attention to our opinions and suggestions, what we need to do is not to issue an insignificant war alarm, but to use practical actions to help the Argentine military overcome difficulties at critical moments. The lower the key we are now, the better the effect we produce when we play our role."

“That is, do nothing?”

Dongfang Wen nodded at Pei Chengyi, saying that this is what he meant.

Seeing Pei Chengyi's expression, the officer knew that Dongfang Wen's suggestion was closest to Pei Chengyi's ideas.

In fact, Oriental News' analysis is the most in line with the actual situation. After all, he has always been in contact with the Argentine authorities on behalf of the advisory group. Therefore, he is the most familiar with the situation of the Argentine authorities and is also the best idea of ​​what methods should be used to make the Argentine authorities pay more attention to the advisory group.

"Since that's the case, we'll wait for the rabbit." Pei Chengyi glanced at his watch and said, "It's getting late, everyone is going back to rest. Although our current attitude is that Jiang Taigong fishing and those who are willing to take the bait, we have to be prepared. We can't wait until the fish are hooked before we can prepare the soup. If it's not expected, the Argentine authorities will come to us soon, and it's time for us to perform."

Without Dongfang Wen's order, several officers stood up and said goodbye together.

In fact, Pei Chengyi and the others have long been standing in the center of the stage!
Chapter completed!