Volume 10 Reshuffle Chapter 110 Take a Stand
In order to set up a Middle East War Zone, the closest to the Middle East is the South Asian War Zone. After Yuan Chenhao served as the Chief of Staff of the South Asian War Zone, he not only dealt with many matters related to the Middle East, but also spent a lot of time understanding the situation and pattern of the Middle East...
After introducing the situation, Yuan Chenhao took a two-stop breath and said, "Do you think there is a possibility of a conflict in the Middle East?" The Leishu Bar Shuoku Factory reported less, more salary, more
"There is definitely a possibility, it depends on how high the chance is." Pei Chengyi also breathed a sigh of relief and said. "After the Iran War, almost everyone believed that a large-scale war would break out in the Middle East. Especially after Egypt and Syria successively imported a large number of advanced weapons and equipment from our country, Western news media repeatedly clamored that we are creating the fourth Middle East War. But in the past twenty years, why is the Middle East hot and not fighting? The reason is that a pound of one pound cannot be slapped. Although the Iranian authorities are clamoring, they will swear to wipe Israel from the earth every few months.
But Iran's highest spiritual leader is not an idiot. He knows that Russia is unreliable and without us intervene. Iran is just a scallion. Otherwise, the Iranian president would not have signed a treaty to destroy nuclear weapons in London. In fact, the Russian authorities also know that as long as we keep our anger, even if Russia loses everything, it will not be possible to make any name in the Middle East. The EU, which has been fighting small, also knows what the key is in the Middle East. To put it simply, we have been busy solving other problems and dealing with various challenges. We do not have the energy to stir up trouble in the Middle East."
"That walks past, not future."
"This is the key." Pei Chengyi smiled and said, "After the Iran War, we used all the skills to solve surrounding and domestic problems. In essence, before the Conflict of the Falklands, we had been carefully dealing with the challenges of the United States and did not compete for world hegemony with the United States. In fact, we did not have the ability to compete for world hegemony with the United States. The Conflictlands War is not only a turning point, but also a clear signal.
Our performance with the United States is enough to make some countries that are ready to move, such as Iran, and Russia, feel that the time is ripe and should take action. In a sense, no matter how old our country is, as long as it is necessary, the authorities will definitely turn a blind eye." If you read the most dead chapter, choose the tears book.
"Let the situation develop?"
Pei Chengyi nodded and said, "To be precise, let the situation develop in the direction we need. Think about it, what should we do after the end of the Conflict in the Island of the Horse Island, and what should the United States do."
?”
Yuan Chenhao frowned slightly and did not rush to speak.
"We are very clear about what we should do. After all, domestic reform has a long way to go. We should not change the key points until the major issues that determine the development and progress of the Chinese nation are fundamentally resolved. In fact, there is nothing to guess what the United States should do. A new round of rapid economic growth is coming. That is, the so-called "golden age, coming. The world will face unprecedented changes. Whether it is us, the United States, or any other country with the potential to become the world's number one power, only by seizing the opportunity can we make great progress. It is precisely this way, in the foreseeable future, the United States will face unprecedented changes. Whether it is us, the United States, or any other country with the potential to become the world's number one power, only by seizing the opportunity can we make great progress. It is precisely this way, in the foreseeable future, the United States will face great changes.
The national authorities also have to focus on domestic construction and strive to catch up with us in the shortest time in several most critical areas. It is really rare to change the situation that is seriously unfavorable to the United States." Pei Chengyi paused for a moment and said, "The problem is that we will not let the United States move forward smoothly, nor will the U.S. authorities will not let us live a stable life, otherwise there will be no conflict in the islands. In fact, let alone countries or regions such as the United States, the European Union and Veros that have the ability to become world powers, as well as countries such as Iran and Israel that have close ties to the regional situation will take action."
"According to your words, war will inevitably break out in the Middle East."
Pei Chengyi breathed a sigh of relief and said that this was what he meant.
"In this way, what is the most likely place to break out in war, or the form of war?"
"It's hard to say." Pei Chengyi touched his chin, pondered for a while before speaking, "Although almost everyone thinks that the contradiction in the Middle East is the contradiction between Iran and Israel, or that between us and the United States, I personally think that the possibility of a conflict between Iran and Israel is not very high. Even if it really breaks out, it has little to do with us. There are three reasons. First, Iran and Israel are not bordered by Israel, and even if the current Iraqi regime is closely related to Iran. Because Syria has changed its political stance more than ten years ago and negotiated with Israel with our help, and Jordan has a close relationship with the United States and the EU, and Iran has a war. Only through Lebanon
Lebanon is a small country and is not an opponent of Israel at all. Therefore, Iran and Israel have no basis for a war. Second, Russia cannot support Iran to deal with Israel with Israel, and the United States cannot support Israel to deal with Iranian thugs. Both sides have no backers, and it is almost the same to fight. If they really want to fight, it will not be so easy. Third, Israel and Iran have signed a London treaty, and we are consistent with the United States on the issue of destroying nuclear weapons. The authorities on both sides cannot not know the impact of the war, and it is impossible for them to risk being directly attacked by superpowers, while another superpower can only stand by and watch to launch a war, and even conflicts cannot occur."
Yuan Chenhao nodded thoughtfully, expressing his agreement with Pei Chengyi's judgment.
"Iran and Israel cannot fight, which does not mean that there is no other conflict in the Middle East." Pei Chengyi thugs Chi;, said. "I directly recognize that Syria is the most stable factor in the Middle East. Although after the Fourth India-Pakistan War, Syria did not get closer and closer. Not only did it purchase a large amount of weapons and equipment from our country, adjust its military power according to our suggestions, it also actively cooperated with us diplomatically to resolve the issue of belonging to the Golan Heights with Israel through peaceful negotiations. But don't ignore one thing, that is, Israel has not made any substantial concessions in the return of the Golan Heights so far. If before that, Syria still had some
Hesitated, worried that we will retreat in the face of trouble, not play a role in the Syrian-Israeli dispute, or even betray them, then the outcome of the conflict in the Falklands will surely allow the Syrian authorities to make decisions. According to the intelligence provided by the Military Intelligence Agency, the day after I left Enos Aires in 2018, the Syrian ambassador to Agriculture visited the Argentine foreign minister, and the Syrian president had decided to visit Buenos Aires by the end of this year. It is obvious that the Syrian authorities are trying to figure out the role we play in the Falklands conflict. That is to say, by the end of this year, the Syrian president will choose between continuing negotiations and regaining the Golan Heights through military operations."
"That is, war will break out soon?"
"I can't be sure, either." Pei Chengyi sighed and said, "The Middle East is not the South Atlantic. Syria is not Argentina, otherwise the problem of the Golan Heights will not be delayed until now. Of course, I have always believed that as early as twenty years ago, when Ji Lao visited Damascus, the most important chess pieces were laid in the Middle East. Otherwise, they would not have exported so many advanced weapons and equipment to Syria. The problem is that on the chessboard in the Middle East, the chess pieces we set up not only Syria, but also Egypt. Because the Sudan is located in the south of Egypt, and Sudan is an important resource producer,
Egypt is definitely more important than Syria. There is no doubt that Egypt is unwilling to confront Israel, and it is even more impossible to send troops to attack Israel for the so-called national justice like in the 1960s. In this way, we have little choice in Middle East policy. At least we can believe that even if the Syrian authorities make decisions at the end of this year, as long as we do not express our opinions, the situation in the Middle East will not be much hot. And if we want to express our opinions, we mainly depend on the domestic and international situation, that is, whether a conflict or even a war will be beneficial to us in the Middle East."
Yuan Chenhao frowned slightly and waited for Pei Chengyi to continue talking.
"It's a pity that, with my eyes, I can't see any benefits that can be obtained from it."
“That is,”
"The problem is, we can't ignore another factor in the EK."
"Mei County?"
Pei Chengyi nodded and said, "The Conflict in the Horse Island has tear off the last fig leaf in our relationship with the United States. As long as national interests are needed, the US authorities will definitely make a difference in the Middle East. In fact, because we have always been unwilling to get involved in the disputes in the Middle East, our dominance in the Middle East is very limited. In other words, just like our actions in the South Atlantic, as long as the United States is willing, we can force us to make a difference in the Middle East at any time. There is no doubt that if we passively respond, the result will not be much better. It can even be said that as long as we make a mistake, the United States can use Israel to dominate the Middle East and thus completely block us from the gates of the Middle East. It will take at least a few years to return to the Middle East. But after a few years, the international situation will not be so simple. In other words, we must not make any mistakes in the Middle East."
Yuan Chenhao suddenly thought of something and looked at Pei Chengyi. If you read the most important chapter, choose the tears book. Stop the awkward Peng Qiquan
"I took the initiative to mention the Middle East issue, just to get your attention." Pei Chengyi patted Yuan Chenhao on the shoulder and said, "The Head of State called back you, the commander of the South Asian War Zone. It is definitely not about asking about the distribution of food, nor about the living conditions of hundreds of millions of Indians.
To be honest, I am 100% sure that the head of state will ask questions from the Middle East, and will use this martial arts probe and measure your talents, and then decide your stay or not."
"I thought of it too, but it's not as thorough as you think about it."
"What do you think?" Xueshuba Shukang, the factory reported fewer, the bad salary is for you, the bad salary is for you, the bad news is for you.
"I? It's much more direct." Yuan Chenhao smiled reluctantly and said, "At first, I thought the head of state would take active action in the Middle East like he did when dealing with Britain, but later I felt that it was unlikely. The reason you said, the Middle East is not the South Atlantic. Later, I felt that the head of state would use the hands of Russia and Iran to light fire in the Middle East. In fact, this is not very likely. After all, the Russian and Iranian authorities are not fools. They will not be our pawns. Finally, what you said is that the Golan Heights dispute is the most difficult problem in the Middle East and the most likely problem to cause war. It's just not that complicated. I think there are only two possible ways to cause conflict. One is that we take the initiative to attack and continue to cause trouble for the United States, and the other is that the United States counterattacks and causes trouble for us."
Pei Chengyi frowned slightly, then smiled and shook his head.
"Of course, after hearing what you said, I think the latter is more likely."
"Why?"
Yuan Chenhao thought for a while and said, "There is nothing to say about our reasons. The head of state will definitely not cause trouble in the Middle East, and the next head of state may not do much in external actions. In fact, it is not us who want to provoke trouble now, but the United States. After the conflict between the Cabernets and the United States suffered a silence. Even if it can stabilize Britain, it will lose a large position. What do not think about Latin American countries? The European countries have a lot of ideas. And the seven countries have created enough trouble. In this case, in addition to sticking to their current positions, the US authorities must do one thing well, that is, to make the whole world believe, "In the United States era
, It has not been past, the United States is still a superpower. To do this well, first of all, you have to choose a good battlefield, or a good venting object. This object must have three conditions: one is strong enough, two is easy to defeat, and three is not much involvement. Only in this way can the strength of the United States be demonstrated. If this object has military relations with us or has received our support, it will be even more perfect. There is no doubt that in today's world, there are few countries with these conditions, and Syria is one of them. To put it another, if the United States can slap Syria down with one slap and we do nothing, the United States can regain prestige."
"You've analyzed it correctly, then do you think we will do nothing?"
"This" Yuan Chenhao hesitated for a moment and said with a smile, "Actually this is a question I want to ask you."
"I'm lying to me again. You should have had an idea, right?"
"It's not that I don't have any ideas, it's just that I'm not very mature
"Speak up, let's discuss together
Yuan Chenhao nodded and said, "In fact, the biggest uncertainty factor is not the United States, nor Syria, nor the third parties such as the EU and Russia, but us, that is, our next head of state. I think if the head of state is allowed to make a decision, we will definitely do something. In any case, it is not what we did today, and we have invested enough capital in Syria. More importantly, the result of this struggle is too important to us. Just as we cannot lose Argentina, we cannot make any losses in Syria, otherwise it is not only Syria, but the entire Middle East, which is a junction of the world. To this end, we should take positive and decisive actions. The question is that the head of state has decided to step down as a thug. It seems that the next head of state will continue to have a tough position now."
"Unknown number?" Pei Chengyi frowned slightly.
"I talked to you so much in the afternoon. My first feeling is that after the next head of state comes to power, the first thing I have to do is to eliminate the influence of the head of state." Yuan Chenhao smiled bitterly and said, "No matter how much influence the head of state has, as the head of state welcomes a new master, the domestic situation will change. No one can tell how big the change is. But we must believe that the Republic's foreign policy will definitely be affected, and it will have a very big impact.
There is no doubt that the Cambodian conflict is just a warm-up match. The United States is not performing well and will definitely find ways to win the first round of the official game, while we are complacent about the victory of the warm-up match. Our mentality has not been adjusted. How to deal with the new game?"
"It seems that you are much calmer and more awake than I thought."
Yuan Chenhao smiled and shook his head, not feeling happy.
"Just keep this state." Pei Chengyi smiled and said, "What you said at the beginning is also something I'm worried about, but from another perspective. The Head of State convened a high-level meeting at this time and called us all back. He will definitely make relevant arrangements and will not make us lose the chronicity of police. In fact, if the United States wants to win a game back, it must seize the time and take advantage of the opportunity of our restructuring to attack us off guard. When we are ready to take action, no matter who is on stage, the Republic will not watch Syria be over. We can think of this problem, and the Head of State can think of this problem, so it will make arrangements. If I am not wrong, the Head of State will first evaluate your ability, so you have to perform well."
"You're not going to participate?"
"Me?" Pei Chengyi smiled and shook his head. He said, "There is no need. The facts have proved that you have the ability to command the army to fight and win the final victory. Besides, you are no longer the colonel's staff officer, but the major general commander of Weizhen. If I intervene in, what is that?"
Yuan Chenhao was stunned for a moment, then smiled bitterly.
As for this, Pei Chengyi and Yuan Chenhao revealed their trump card to each other. Both of them knew that war would break out in the Middle East soon. Wang Yuanqing would choose a suitable commander among the two, and the first choice was Yuan Chenhao, not Pei Chengyi. To be precise, when Yuan Chenhao was able to complete the task alone, Wang Yuanqing would not let Pei Chengyi go to the Middle East to get involved. Such an arrangement must have a deeper meaning. The first thing Pei Chengyi and Yuan Chenhao thought of was to let the Republic avoid being involved in the Middle East conflict. Pei Chengyi took this opportunity to express his attitude, that is, he would not steal Yuan Chenhao's credit on the Middle East issue. Yuan Chenhao also used this to express his position, that is, no matter how great his achievements were, his relationship with Pei Chengyi would not change. The two were not only friends, but also superiors and subordinates. Because both of them were smart, they spoke much more implicitly and tactfully, and there was no need to make it clear.
Speaking of this time, the car drove into the General Staff.
After meeting Xiang Yinghui, the two followed the Chief of Staff and many other generals invited to the head of state to attend the high-level meeting of the General Staff.
Seeing this situation, Pei Chengyi and Yuan Chenhao knew it.
Chapter completed!