Volume 12 Prelude to the Great War Chapter 8 Complications
After a few hours of my stay, Pei Chengyi finally understood the current international situation.,
In the final analysis, everything has to start with the 8-year-old Syrian Israel War. This fierce battle lasted for 4 hours, dragging the war that led to the sky to turn the Middle East military from cold to hot, and then from hot to warm. It is perfect to use "Wen" to describe the Middle East situation in the "post-Syria and Israeli War period". Although the whole world knows that the situation in the Middle East will not cool down before the Republic and the United States distinguish themselves, everyone believes that when the Republic and the United States are unwilling to fight directly, the conflict in the Middle East will not turn into a war.
As a result, the national struggle in Fengdong area became an "endurance race".
After the Syria-Israel War, major countries in the Middle East adjusted their basic policies one after another. Whether it is Israel that continues to rely on the United States, Egypt that is swaying between China and the United States, Syria that is loyal to the Republic, Jordan, which has frequent exchanges with the EU, Iran, and other countries, one of the core contents of its "new policy" is to resolve domestic conflicts and lay the foundation for long-term development.
Take Syria as an example. After the war was over, under the strong promotion of policies, the domestic economic growth rate increased instead of falling, and was the fastest-growing country in the Middle East for three consecutive years. Especially in the upper reaches of the Euphrates River, the first phase of the four blade-mW controlled fusion nuclear power plants in the "Sasuhad Power Plant" in Deirzor Province, the capital of Deirzor Province. The first phase of the first project of the four blade-knife-level controllable fusion nuclear power plants was completed at the end of the 00s. After the grid was officially connected to the grid to generate power, Syria's national economy was like chicken blood, and in the last month it was recorded with otters. You should know that in the Middle East where the economy has been sluggish, such a development speed is definitely a miracle. Although in the words of economists, Syria is the first country to introduce controllable fusion nuclear power plants from the Republic, and it has introduced the world's most advanced QumW reactor. Each power station has a reactor, which is built in three phases.
At that time, the reactor power of the controllable fusion nuclear power plants introduced by other countries was below MW. For example, Jordan only introduced 4 MW from France, Egypt only introduced supra megawatts from the Republic, Turkey only introduced supra megawatts from the United States, and Israel only developed by Feiyuesiwa. The power cost is the lowest among the Middle East countries and is attractive enough to international capital, so it attracted a large number of investments, especially investment from the Republic, which led to rapid development of its economy. However, no economist could deny that if it were not for the Syrian authorities' reform and introduced many major policies to fundamentally ensure the benefits of international investment, then the power cost advantage would not be enough to attract hundreds of billions of yuan in investment. The capitalists of the Republic had no reason to give up the domestic market and go to a country without any insurance to make money on the knife.
In fact, the changes in Syria are a microcosm of the entire situation in Wudong. If you read the most popular chapter, choose the Tears Book. Stop the Ao Peng.
To use the comments of Western news media, Syria does not mention revenge after its defeat, but instead focuses on developing its economy. It is not that Syria does not want to retaliate, but that it must be fully prepared for revenge. It is precisely because of this that many Western news media believe that it is the influence of the Republic that has made Syria an unstable factor in the Middle East. There is no doubt that this is a statement without any basis and no reason. If you suspect that a country's prosperity and strength poses a threat to neighboring countries, you will seize the right of the people of that country to pursue happiness. Then the "common progress of human civilization" advocated by Western countries is an empty talk, and it is also a lie to safeguard the interests of Western civilization.
In fact, "human civilization makes common progress. It is a lie.
If human civilization can progress together, there will be no boundary between the country and the nation. More importantly, the basic condition for common progress of civilization is the common economic development and eliminate the gap between developed countries and developing countries. And developed countries that have most of the resources cannot make progress together with developing countries. Because the foundation of developed countries, or the basis for the development of developed countries, is based on the recording of developing countries.
In any case, the situation in the Middle East is not calm.
In this case, Iran is the one that attracts the most attention, because in June of the year, the Iranian authorities shouted the slogan of "reform" shortly after the war in Syria ended.
In fact, Iran's reform began in the year of the year, that is, after the end of the Iran War.
At that time, Iran was in a state of destruction. Except for the food supply that could barely be self-sufficient, all other resources needed to be imported, because the refinery was severely damaged and even refined oil needed to be imported. It can be said that 40,000 Iranians had to rebuild their homes on the ruins. There is no doubt that if they wanted to rebuild, they had to rely on international aid. Because the United States was indeed in the wrong, the United States did not interfere when Iran was rebuilding. At that time, most countries except the United States, including all European countries, provided assistance to Iran. Of course, most countries only provided symbolic assistance, and even developed countries such as the United Kingdom and Spain only wanted to do it.
What really helped Imin to rebuild post-war was the Republic and Russia.
Although the Republic and Russia have serious differences on the development of Iran, after all, both countries want to use Iran to enter the Middle East. However, on the most critical issue, namely, Iran's domestic reform, the two countries' attitudes are consistent. After all, both the Republic and Russia have been subject to less suspicion, and the salary is "and more lies"! The threat from Sichuan extremist organizations. If the punishment of the extremist organizations can be eliminated, the punishment of the greatest backer of the extremist organizations can be fundamentally improved. To this end, when the Republic and Russia provide assistance, they both clearly stated that Iran must carry out reforms.
Of course, when it comes to specific reform measures, the Republic and Russia have conflicts. The tears and books bars have fewer reports, and more
Russia's idea is simple and straightforward, that is, the Iranian authorities must start with political reform, correct political mistakes first, and then develop the economy. The Republic's idea is very tactful, that is, first solve the survival problem of Iranians in Aowan, and then consider political reform after the economic reform has achieved certain results. Although it seems to the outside world that Russia and the Republic are applying their own reform experience, because Russia was established overnight and completed political reform overnight, and only after the country survived the pain of political reform, it began to undergo
In economic reform, the Republic takes a completely opposite path. He first carries out economic reform and then takes political reform after the economic reform has achieved results. But in essence, the two countries are not implementing reform experience. Instead, they are competing for Iran’s interests. The reason is very simple. If they follow the Republic’s plan, whoever wants to control Iran will have to invest more capital. There is no doubt that Russia does not have enough capital and competes with the Republic for capital. It will definitely be ugly to lose. For national interests, Russia can only try to create some trouble in Iran.
The problem is that no one can ignore the choices of the Iranian authorities.
When the Republic and Russia proposed reconstruction proposals, the Iranian authorities saw through the intention of "thugs and allies". The choice before the Iranian authorities was very difficult. In fact, no matter which side they surrendered, they had to carry out political reforms. The difference was only early reforms or late reforms. Mu Yong doubted that for the highest spiritual leader who still controlled Iran at that time, it was best not to mention political reforms. If it had to be reformed, the later the better.
As a result, when the Republic and Russia were fighting each other, the Iranian authorities had already made a choice.
This is what everyone knows later. In the years 2 to 0 years, Iran changed its thugs and a president and an oral government. Iran adopted the republic's reconstruction proposal, but was inclined to Russia in policy. In other words, the Iranian authorities wanted to use the help of the republic to complete post-war reconstruction. They then used Russia's influence to resist political reforms, and eventually received assistance from the republic and avoided political reforms. There is no doubt that the Iranian authorities took the problem too simply. Because the Iranian president was the president of Iran, at least nominally Iranian president, so it was very unlucky in the republic.
When it was so cool, the Iranian authorities used the method of changing soup and not changing medicine to deal with the republic. Obviously, the response cannot last too long. Entering the fourth old year of the century, the Republic finally used up all patience. As the Republic not only ended its free aid to Iran on the grounds that the Iranian authorities did not fulfill their commitment to protecting the interests of the Republic's merchants in Iran, it also secretly restricted domestic merchants from investing in Iran. It was the republic's anger that made Iran's first reform end in failure. Because this reform that lasted for a year was full of political struggles and the interests of major powers, the essence of its reform was not known to the outside world.
After 8 years, Iran began reform again, and it was not so complicated for me to ask.
Although in the eyes of most people, including most Western media, Iranian President Ahmadinejad, who was only 60 years old, was elected in June of the injury. The son of former President Ahmadinejad, who was the first to propose Iran's reform concept, proposed reform. In addition to inheriting his father's will, the main reason is to deal with external pressure and revitalize Iran through reform. The purpose is not wrong, but the main reason for promoting reform is not external threats, but Iran's domestic contradictions.
In a sense, the post-war reconstruction after the Iran war is essentially a redistribution of social wealth.
In order to consolidate the regime, the highest spiritual leader of Iran must attach great importance to the interests of the soldiers. That is, to benefit those soldiers who have made great contributions in the war. In this way, during the post-war reconstruction, dozens of large families emerged in Iran that started with military merit rewards. Taking advantage of the wealthy privileges of the highest spiritual leader and the influence in the army, in just a few years, these large families controlled the economic lifeline of Iran and became real profiteers. Use one in Iran to do one.
Lang lived for a lifetime and did not leave Iran until Yo retired, saying that after the Iran War, the problem of Iran was the problem of Tian’s big family. According to reports from some Western news media, when they cooperated with Russia to establish an international energy organization, the big family in Iran gained trillions of dollars. The money exchanged for export resources should have fallen into the pockets of the Iranian people and flowed into the Iranian domestic market, promoting economic circulation, and promoting economic development.
Mo Yong doubted that in this round of wealth reshuffle, the Iranian people were not surprised to have much benefit. If you read the most dead chapter, choose the tears book. Stop the awkward Peng, Qiquan
It can be said that Iran's ability to maintain stability for the old years after the end of the war without serious social unrest has a lot to do with the end of the war. The problem is that no matter how good the stimulant is, it will take effect for a while and it will not be able to remain effective forever. The national pride brought by defeating the United States will not always make the people of Lulang forget the pain in real life.
In fact, before the Syrian-Israel war, Iran's domestic conflicts had already become very sudden.
During the campaign, Ahmadinejad, who shouted that reforms could win votes that surpass Chen and was elected president of Iran with absolute advantage, which was closely related to Iran's domestic conflicts. The people's expectations for reforms are inseparable from the root of the people. It can be said that the Iranian authorities changed their minds before Syrian prison, adjusted their basic national policies, actively repaired the Republic, and were also directly related to Iran's domestic conflicts. No matter how stupid the Iranian spiritual leader is, he should know that it is not Russia, but the Republic that can help Iran solve domestic economic problems.
There is no doubt that anyone in power can see the problem in Iran.
That's why the United States couldn't sit still when the Republic used the Syria-Israel conflict to return to Iran and drove Russia out of Iran step by step.
Branmanuo has been in power for many years and did the most things he did was to plan Iran.
The US president, who fought with Wang Yuanqing for several years, had to find ways to deal with Wang Yuanqing's aftermath arrangements, knew very well that it was not the United States who had gained benefits in the Syria-Israel war, but the Republic. As the Republic controls Syria, if the Republic is allowed to control Iran, even if the United States and the European Union support Israel, it may not be able to stop the Republic from dominating the Middle East. More importantly, as long as the situation is clear, the Israeli authorities will make a choice on the issue of going left and going right. What will be left to the United States at that time will definitely be a mess.
Branmanuo is not stupid. When the Syrian authorities agreed to negotiate with Israel, he knew he was fooled. The tears book bar shook the awkward factory, Xia Zhanyou, Xia Duo
To put it bluntly, Syria's loss of war was arranged by the Republic. On the surface, the United States won a big victory, but in fact, the United States lost the people's hearts. To be precise, when the United States helped Israel win, all Middle Eastern countries that had already begun to think independently would have a question mark on the future, namely whether the US dominance can bring benefits and whether it is necessary to introduce another superpower.
There is no doubt that most countries will choose the latter.
In fact, even if it is not in the Middle East, for any small country, if it wants to maximize its own interests, it must make full use of the struggle between superpowers.
Syria loses the war, which is equivalent to opening the door to the Middle East for the Republic. If you read the most important chapter, choose the tears book. Stop the awkward Peng.
Mu Yong doubted that the first position the Republic wants to take is Iran. First, it controls Iran. Not only can I use Iran as a springboard to march into other countries, but it can also warm up against Russia. It can even make Iran a "model" to promote the Republic's ideology and values to other Middle Eastern countries.
The United States has no choice but to let the Republic fall and make Iran a negative teaching material.
To put it bluntly, it is to make Iran's reform fail and to make Iran a fragmented, turbulent and uneasy country.
The problem is that there are not many options available to the United States.
For example, just like the Republic cannot engage in subversion activities in Britain, the United States is unlikely to engage in subversion activities in Iran, and can only change Iran through indirect measures. Of course, this is not a simple indirect measures, but a fatal blow. Therefore, before launching the action, the United States must find Iran's fatal point.
This time, Brandino did not make any confusion and found the lifeline of Iran: national issues.
The last thing Jiang Brandino did before leaving the White House was to determine the action against Iran in the form of legislation. The method was simple, that is, in the name of "human rights", the Congress passed a foreign-related bill aimed at protecting the survival power of ethnic minorities persecuted by the government. According to the bill, as long as there is evidence that the government of a country is persecuting ethnic minorities in its territory, the US president can use various means such as sheltering refugees, providing funds, helping to train, exchanging intelligence, and even sending troops directly to protect the persecuted ethnic minorities.
With this bill, Republican President Landers, who came to power at the beginning of the year, had no worries.
Although Landes could not take Branbianno's political legacy seriously, as stipulated in the bill, it was really to send tens of thousands of American soldiers to protect ethnic minorities in Iran, Landes could make a fuss about taking action, that is, to solve the problem with the so-called "flexible" method.
Not to mention anything else, after Landes moved into the White House, among the first thug phenol administrative documents signed, there were related to the survival problems of the Kurds in Iran and human rights issues. One of them was to instruct four to find out the survival conditions of the Kurds in Iran as quickly as possible.
Mu Yong doubted that the United States played the Kurdish card at this time, indicating that the US authorities had no other choice.
You should know that the Kurdish issue in Iran is also a Kurdish issue in Iraq. It is also a Kurdish issue in Turkey. Even if the United States does not take action against Turkey, it will lead to a sharp decline in US-Turkey relations. More importantly, the United States must deal with Iran and Iraq at the same time, thus complicating the problem.
In fact, Türkiye, not Iran, was the first to react.
A White House spokesman said that the United States is highly concerned about the survival of the Kurds. The Turkish President made it clear that the Kurdish issue is the internal affairs of its country and that the United States should not interfere in other countries' internal affairs. Turkey will not exchange views with any country on related issues, nor will it look at the faces of other countries.
In this way, a pound of simple problems becomes very complicated.
In Li Cunxun's words, composing simple issues has always been the most prominent patience of the Republican president of the United States.
Chapter completed!