The list was determined after careful consideration. "Li Cunxun seemed to know what Pei Qiushu would ask, "Although we are trying to avoid war, judging from the previous situation, war has been inevitable and it is very likely that the battle will start within a few months."

"I know this, just

“So we have to think about the problem from a military level.”

Pei Chengyi didn't quite understand what Li Cunxun said. As a commander, you must consider the issue from a military level rather than a political perspective. Li Cunxun deliberately mentioned this point, making it clear that military is not the main problem, it is just an excuse.

"Say that," Li Cunxun paused for a moment and said, "You also know that we have received the exact information that the other party's commander is Du Qiwei who you are very familiar with. Of course, he also knows you very well. If you follow the Indian War method and you partner with Yuan Chenhao, for Du Qiwei, our tactics will have no secrets."

Obviously, Li Cunxun's reason failed to convince Pei Chengyi.

Tactics themselves are flexible. Good tactics are even more impossible to remain unchanged. More importantly, excellent commanders will never be conservative. Looking at the wars and conflicts commanded by Pei Chengyi, it is not difficult to find that his tactics are very flexible and rarely use the same tactics.

In other words, the reason proposed by Li Cunxun is not valid.

"Of course, the key is the command problem." Li Cunxun was also a soldier, so he naturally knew that the reasons raised at the beginning could not satisfy Pei Chengyi. "Although there will be no problem with you and Yuan Chenhao commanding in one direction, this war involves several countries, and this command method itself has problems. More importantly, we are not facing Turkey and Israel, but the United States."

"In other words, we are likely to lose the war?" Pei Chengyi asked.

.

Li Cunxun frowned slightly and said, "From a strategic perspective, before considering winning, we must consider failure. Especially the consequences of the production and heavy consequences of failure, but"

"Old Li, you also said that this is a very important war." Pei Chengyi said with anger, "So no matter what. I need a clear answer."

Li Cunxun nodded, pondered for a moment, and said, "You are right, we are indeed likely to lose the war."

Pei Chengyi was not surprised. Instead, he waited for Li Cunxun to continue talking.

"You can ask this question. It shows that you are thinking about the problem and thinking very deeply." Li Cunxun smiled and shook his head. He said, "If my judgment is not wrong, you must think that we were preparing for this war several years ago. We asked you to go to the Physics Experiment Center for this war."

“It’s not just us preparing.”

"It's true, the United States is also preparing." Li Cunxun nodded and said, "Since you mentioned it on your own initiative, I will explain it in detail. After all, we have to work hard to win the final victory.

Pei Chengyi had already made mental preparations and did not intend to leave in a hurry.

"Before the end of the Indian War, to be precise, when you were rushing south, we instigated several American military advisers who were operating in India."

Pei Chengyi frowned slightly, not surprised. Instigating the enemy's personnel was originally the best way to attack the Military Intelligence Bureau.

"It should be the beginning of Daomi year. I don't remember the exact time." Li Cunxun paused and said, "We have received the exact news that the White House has reached a secret agreement with several of the largest interest groups in the United States. As a ticket to enter the internal decision-making circle of interest groups, Brandino will plan a war during his re-elected term and prepare for another war. Because the military adviser who has instigated the Pentagon did not enter the core department, he did not obtain more detailed information."

"In this way, the Conflict of the Falklands is also related to the United States?"

"To be precise, it is related to Brandino." Li Cunxun smiled slightly and said, "Think about it, what is the direct cause of the conflict in the Cambridge Island? Without the exploration results announced by Standard Oil, even if we hope to change the strategic situation in the South Atlantic, the Argentine authorities would not have taken the risk of launching a war. It has been confirmed that there are much more rare metal deposits on the Cambridge Island than Standard Corporation discovered, but not as much as estimated. To be straightforward, if we can get accurate information before the war breaks out, maybe we will not be involved in the Cambridge Island conflict."

Pei Chengyi nodded, indicating that he understood what Li Cunxun meant.

In fact, the direct cause of the conflict in the Cambridge Island was the exploration results announced by the Standard Company, especially the long-term reserves of rare metal deposits. Although the Military Intelligence Bureau found a way to obtain exact exploration data, that is, the number of rare metal deposits that have been discovered on the island was far less than expected, before the war broke out, the Republic had no choice but to support Argentina. In this way, the Cambridge Island War became inevitable.

"Before the end of the Battle of the Horse Island, we felt that the US authorities' approach was a bit unreasonable." Li Cunxun took a sip of tea and said, "The most doubtful thing is to send Ducheway to London and command the British army as the highest military adviser of the British Prime Minister. Although the relationship between the United States and Britain is extraordinary, in our opinion, the United States can abandon any ally and cannot abandon Britain, but one thing must be admitted. That is, Ducheway did not get any benefits from it. The problem is here. During the two terms of Branmanuo, Ducheway served as the Minister of Defense and National Security Advisor, which is counted as the Minister of Defense and National Security Advisor.

The most influential figure in the cabinet, the official who was respected and trusted by the president, Duchyway was able to "suppose that it was reused and trusted by Branjungno. There was no doubt that Duchyway was indeed reused, but his trust was brought to bitter fruit. It turned out that sending Duchyway to London was exactly the arrangement made by Branjungno to shirk responsibility. In other words, long before the end of the war, Brandino knew that Britain would lose the war, and that someone in the United States had to bear the responsibility for it. If there were no Duchyway, he would bear the responsibility."

"Duqiwei must know Brandino's Ran Yi."

"It's true, but that's what happened after the war. Think about it, if Duchway had seen through Branjuno's arrangement before the war ended, would he be so active? Of course, judging from the situation in the late stage of the war, Duchway was likely to have discovered the problem before the war ended, but he didn't have time to take action. In fact, it doesn't matter whether Duchway saw through Branjuno's arrangement." Li Cunxun paused for a moment and pulled the topic back. "Branjuno shirking responsibility was not to keep his reputation. For a president who was destined to leave the White House, reputation was not important. According to my judgment, he arranged this way to prove what the interest groups in the United States were. The key is here, what did Brandino want to prove? To be honest, we couldn't figure it out at the time."

Pei Chengyi frowned and waited for Li Cunxun to continue talking.

"It was not until Lili year that the Republican Party won the presidential election without any suspense that I realized it. In fact, it was not until this time that I completely believed in the intelligence that Brandino was unwilling to withdraw from the American politics from now on." Li Cunxun breathed a sigh of relief and said, "Before we understand Brandino's intentions, we must understand the problem, that is, there is no party dispute between the American interest groups. Although in the outside world, the Republican Party and the Democratic Party represent different interest groups, such as the Republican Party is the throat of arms dealers and energy companies, while the Democratic Party is the throat of middle-class doctors, teachers, blue-collar workers, etc., these interest groups themselves have no clear boundaries. For example, the American trade union representing the middle class to a large extent, because these large enterprises have the most employees."

Pei Chengyi didn't speak because what Li Cunxun was talking about was the facts.

"If you understand this problem, it is not difficult to understand Brandino's intention." Li Cunxun smiled and said, "Think about it. As a former president, after Brandino left the White House, unless his wife or children are willing to contribute to politics, it will be difficult to have the opportunity to involve politics. In fact, most US presidents have become civilians after leaving the White House. At most, they rely on giving speeches, publishing books, or other ways to maintain their popularity. However, it is difficult to find a place in the decision-making level. On the contrary, some cabinet members and White House aides can get the opportunity to play their remaining energy. Not to mention anything else. During the Bush administration, Rice, who served as national security adviser and secretary of state, stayed in the US decision-making circle for a long time, and even reason to believe that the United States was involved in the Iran war was due to her contributions."

“That is, in order to join Davis, Brandino must tell his abilities

"It's not a ability. In fact, no one doubts Brancontinu's ability." Li Cunxun smiled and said, "In a sense, except for his bad luck, Brandino is no worse than the great president in American history. You must know that he took office during the Great Depression, and did not solve the social problems of the United States through world wars, nor did he spend too much national strength in international struggles. Although in the outside world, the recovery of the US economy is not ideal, and in many aspects it cannot even reach the level of developed countries.

Average level, but the main reason for the slow recovery of the US economy is too much investment in scientific research. In fact, this has laid the foundation for the long-term development of the US economy. According to our recent estimate, by about ten thousand years of strength, the US economy will experience explosive growth. Even if the Middle East War breaks out this year, the US economy will experience explosive growth in a few years, between the year of strength and field years. The fundamental driving force of this growth has nothing to do with the outside world, and it is the long-term development strategy of the Brandino period.

Pei Chengyi nodded, expressing his agreement with Li Cunxun's statement.

In fact, no one doubts Branjungno's talent, whether it is the news media or the ordinary people. In the words of some American news media, if they are not subject to legal restrictions and can pursue their third term, Branjungno will definitely defeat Landers in the general election.

"According to my understanding, what Branfort wants to prove is his political position, to be precise, his understanding of American politics."

"What does it mean?" Pei Chengyi frowned, looking a little confused.

"I said before that American politics is not multi-party politics, the Democrats and the Republicans are birds of a feather." Li Cunxun smiled and said, "The problem is that the politics of both parties has been deeply rooted in the hearts of the people, and many presidents in the United States can only be regarded as a shameful figure of interest groups. At least among the few presidents we have contacted, from Jabel to Rodick, to Frederick, Westwood and Brandino, and even now Landers, they are actually puppets and figures in the hands of interest groups. The difference is whether they are completely controlled by interest groups.

System. Mu Yong doubted that Branbianno had the most distant relationship with interest groups during his administration. When he needed to return to the American decision-making circle through interest groups, he had to prove to the interest groups that he not only had talent, but also had enough courage. In fact, Cailian Liu was the second question, among hundreds of millions of people, there must be such a politician with a heart, such as the current US Secretary of State Mrs. Lobrin, and Ducheway, who has been fighting independently. Therefore, Brandino must make the interest groups believe that he can serve the interest groups.

Pei Chengyi smiled bitterly and understood what Li Cunxun meant.

"Back to the previous topic." Li Cunxun took a sip of tea and said, "After the Falkland War, we were wondering why the US authorities had to admit defeat. Judging from the negotiations after the ceasefire, although the United States has been secretly supporting Britain, which has had a great impact on the negotiations, and the Promenade issue has remained unresolved so far. Sooner or later, the third war will break out, but one thing is certain, that is, the United States does not want Britain to launch a counterattack immediately and will not provide military support to Britain, otherwise the negotiations would have broken down long ago. In other words, the United States' original intention was to restore peace to the South Atlantic. There is no doubt that for a superpower, it is unimaginable without enemies, and areas without hot spots are also unimaginable. After the temperature in the South Atlantic drops, the United States must find a way."

"Will the United States create humiliation elsewhere?"

Li Cunxun nodded and said, "That's right, we were worried that the United States would create conflicts elsewhere."

"The problem is. We didn't start preparing at this time, right?"

Li Cunxun smiled and said, "It is indeed as you said. As the Military Intelligence Director, I must make a judgment based on intelligence and not speculate on the situation based on subjective wishes. In fact, the Head of State had recognized the problem long before that, and believed that the South Atlantic Ocean was only a secondary region and the Middle East was the real hot spot. In a sense, it was the Head of State's judgment that made us involved in the Cabernet conflict."

Pei Chengyi was stunned for a moment, and seemed not to figure it out.

"If there were no conflicts in the Cambridge Island, the Middle East war would be likely to break out in the Year of the Concave Blade."

"How is it possible. Brandino"

"It seems impossible now, but it seems very likely at that time." Li Cunxun sighed and said. "The key is not whether the Middle East War will break out in the Year of the Libian, but whether we can prepare before the outbreak of the Middle East War. The facts have proved that the head of state's judgment was not wrong. If the Conflict of the Horse Islands consumed the U.S. national strength, weakened the influence of the United States, and forced the U.S. authorities to spend a lot of effort to reshape prestige, the Middle East War would definitely break out before today. In fact, if the Middle East War broke out before this, our losses would be immeasurable. Think about it, how much effort did the U.S. authorities spend in the Middle East to enhance the prestige?"

Pei Chengyi nodded and said, "The problem is that war can only be delayed, not avoided."

"If we can avoid it, we wouldn't have prepared so much for the war." Li Cunxun smiled and said, "It is precisely this that we cannot lose the Conflict of the Conflict Islands. We must hit the United States hard in the Conflict Islands War. Fortunately, we did it. And it is better to be surprised than imagined. It is precisely because Brandino had to leave the heavy responsibility to Landers. Of course, Brandino is likely to deliberately leave this problem to the Republican president so that one day in the future, the Democratic Party can win the general election again, and as a veteran of the Democratic Party and his close relationship with interest groups, he is likely to become the shadow president of the United States."

"No matter what, from now on, war is inevitable."

"Theoretically, the Middle East war will break out sooner or later, it's just a matter of time." Li Cunxun smiled and said. "Although we and the United States have made sufficient preparations and do not want to lose this crucial war. But one thing is very clear, that is, we and the United States do not want to turn the Middle East war into a world war. In fact, most of the war preparations we made with the United States over the years have been related to avoiding escalation."

"You mean. War must be controlled within the limits we can bear."

"That's right. So we have to be mentally prepared for failure."

Pei Chengyi frowned slightly, and Li Cunxun's words confirmed his speculation.

"More importantly," Li Cunxun glanced at the list placed in front of Pei Chengyi and said, "If we can win, it would be better. If the result is just the opposite, we have to sign an armistice agreement that has not won, then I hope this is not a complete armistice agreement, and the person who signed it should not be you."

Pei Chengyi was shocked and looked at Li Cunxun.

"There are many ways to win, not just defeat the enemy. There are many ways to lose, not just to defeat the enemy." Li Cunxun breathed a sigh of relief and said, "After all, the Middle East War is a war with limited purpose, and there is a variety of ways to end, and there is no need to stick to the form. So you have to prepare for it. More importantly, I don't want you to pay too much in this war. You should know that the Middle East War is not the end, it is just a necessary step toward a new era, and this is not the last war you have experienced."

"I understand." Pei Chengyi nodded and controlled his a little excited mood.

"Think about it carefully and give me the answer tomorrow." Li Cunxun knocked on the table and stood up and said, "I'll ask Xiao Liu to send you out. If you have anything to do, you can call me."
Chapter completed!