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Chapter 47 Great relationship

As we know, Yan Xuyu is a hardlining leader similar to Wang Shiqing.

Affected by the cooling of relations between the Republic and the EU in the past few years, Yan Jing not only did not attach great importance to bilateral relations after taking office, but also did not even regard the EU as the primary visitor. You should know that since Zhao Rundong became the head of state, each head of the Republic will regard the EU as the primary visitor after each election, visit Europe after visiting several major allies, or go directly to Ouyuan for a tour. After taking office, Yan Jingyu, in addition to visiting major allies such as Pakistan, Thailand and North Korea in the second half of that year, first visited India, South Africa, Brazil, Venezuela, Nigeria and Egypt at the beginning of the year.

It was not until the end of the year that we attended the summit of the Group of Pi, namely the Republic, the United States, Russia, France, Britain, Germany, Italy, Spain, Poland, Iran, Pakistan, India, Indonesia, Vietnam, North Korea, Australia, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, South Africa, Nigeria, Egypt and Sudan, etc., and when we attended the Republic, Germany, Italy, Spain, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium and Austria, etc., we visited EU countries such as France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium and Austria, and it was not an official visit, but informal visit.

In the words of European news media, Yan Jingyu's move means that the relationship between the Republic and the EU has entered a "freezing period".

In fact, this sentence should be said in reverse, that is, the relationship between the Republic and the EU will first regress, so that Yan Jingyu will put the EU in a secondary position in diplomatic visits.

No matter what, this is not necessarily a good thing.

Since the beginning of the year of the smelting year, as the EU Council passed an agreement to provide assistance to Turkey for post-war reconstruction, Greece abstained in the vote and did not assume the obligation to aid. France, Germany, Italy, Britain, Spain, Portugal, the Netherlands, Belgium and other countries have successively promised to provide Turkey with a large amount of reconstruction funds, including government-guaranteed loans and other aids, and in total, it provided thugs, such as 100 million euros. France, Britain and Italy followed closely. After each provided the euro, the relationship between the Republic and the EU began to regress. The new address of this site has been changed to: Just a gamble...8. Please log in to the valve!

In any case, suppressing Turkey and striving to establish an independent Kurdish country in the occupied areas in the year after the armistice expires are an important part of the Republic's Middle East strategy. The EU's helping Turkey to carry out post-war reconstruction is to oppose the Republic. It does not want the Republic to dismember Turkey, nor does it want the Republic to gain a decisive say in the Middle East.

This is true. In 2018, the Military Intelligence Agency obtained intelligence to prove that major EU member states such as France, Germany and Italy unified diplomatic caliber after the outbreak of the Middle East War and formulated a strategic plan to help Turkey carry out strategic reconstruction and stabilize the barriers to the eastern EU.

This is understandable. After all, Turkey is a transcontinental country and is also an eastern barrier for the EU. As Iran, Iraq and Syria and other Turkey's neighbors have successively become allies or quasi-alliances of the republic, and Greece in southeastern Europe has close ties with the republic, France, Germany, Italy and other countries are naturally prepared. It can even be said that as long as France, Germany, Italy and other countries still hope that the EU can make a difference in the international community, they must oppose the republic on the issue of Türkiye.

Affected by this, by the time Yan Jing wore it, the EU was only the fourth largest trading partner of the Republic.

You should know that until the Concave Year, the EU was still the Republic's largest trading partner, and it was not surpassed by India until the Year of the mouth, and in the four, it was surpassed by ASEAN and ASEAN. It is easy to understand that ASEAN is, except for the Philippines and Indonesia, other member states of ASEAN are allied countries of the Republic, and have long been tied to the Republic and established a complete free trade system. It has not been able to surpass the EU before, mainly due to the Great Depression. With the economic recovery, ASEAN will definitely be the main trading partner of the Republic, and will even surpass it.

India has become the Republic's largest trading partner. It is a bit unreasonable to fall under the African Union. Although in the past years, the relations between the Republic and the African Union have improved rapidly, not only helped several friendly countries such as Sudan to achieve modernization. It also helped many backward African countries such as Nigeria, Romeron, and Netfruit Gold accelerate economic development, but as the most backward region in the world, the total trade volume of the African Union is very limited, less than one-fifth of the EU and being surpassed by the African Union, which can only show that there is indeed a problem with the relationship between the EU and the Republic.

Of course, trade regression can only be regarded as temptation.

If it was not Yan Jingyu who came to power in Likou, but a leader like Gu Weimin, I am afraid that the relationship between the Republic and the EU will not regress. In any case, the EU has a very important position in the framework of the Republic's international relations. More importantly, the Republic's economic construction still has a lot of room for growth, especially according to per capita GDP and per capita income, the Republic's economy can still grow stably at the rate of around Anhui every year. In fact, after the Middle East War, the Republic's economic growth rate slowed down, and at the time it dropped to locks, and it was only restored to Anhui, and the expected growth in Yo year was only gills. In other words, the Republic needs to promote economic growth and strengthen cooperation with the EU to play such a role.

The international pattern has been determined, and the sphere of influence of the two superpowers has been determined..... The Republic is difficult to discuss with the Muji world countries, that is, to develop Niu'ao based on trade and capital investment to increase economic growth, and can only make a fuss about a few major economies.

The EU is the second largest economy in the world after the Republic, and it is a very promising economy. According to the general predictions of international economic assessment agencies, as military integration and political integration are on track, the EU economy will surely usher in a new round of rapid growth under the driving force of infrastructure.

Although based on the EU, especially in key areas closely related to the development of productivity, it is unlikely that the technical level of the Republic will surpass the Republic and become the world's largest economy. Because of mastering the core technology of the "electricity revolution" and through about years of vigorous development, the leading advantage in this field has become very obvious, so as long as the Republican authorities can solve the problems of aging population and low fertility rates, they can usher in a new period of economic growth. As various policies to encourage fertility gradually show results, fertility rates begin to rebound and the aging problem is solved. It is expected that in the late or early days of the field, the Republic's economic growth rate will exceed, and the continued growth capacity will be more than 10 years.

. By the early years, as the population of the Republic rebounded to more than State B again, becoming the number one most populous country among the world's major economies. During this period, the total population of the Republic may fall below the EU, and the total economic volume of the Republic is definitely above the EU. However, no one can deny that the EU does have great potential for development, especially in the mid-blade era, the EU is likely to become the largest population among the three major economies. At that time, the population of the Republic is likely to be less than 800 million, while the EU may exceed 800 million, and the US population is about 700 million, thus becoming the world's largest market. The address of this site has been changed to: Just a sip of milk...8. Please log in to the Valve!

All in all, from an economic perspective, the Republic has no reason to get into evil with the EU.

The problem is that Yan Jingyu is definitely not a leader who has the number one political purpose of economic construction.

Although it is impossible to deny Yan Jingyu's ability to engage in economic construction, you should know that during his tenure as the chairman of Guangxi, he not only completed the cause that Wang Yuanqing did not complete, but also built Guangxi into the richest area of ​​the Republic, and it was the main window for the Republic to face ASEAN. After returning to the Central Committee, Yan Jingyu's first position was Premier of the State Council, and his main job during this period was to be responsible for national economic construction. Even after serving as the deputy head of state, Gu Weimin had a good job in economic management, so he did not get many opportunities to perform. Yan Jingyu also made great contributions to national construction. The most praised thing was in foreign trade.

The relationship between the Republic and many allies and friendly countries has been straightened out, and trade opening up is no longer one of the aid means, at least it is no longer the main aid means, reducing a lot of losses for the country. However, in the eyes of many people, Yan Jingyu is not a leader who focuses on economic development, but a leader like Wang Yuanqing who focuses on external expansion and the enhancement of the Republic's international influence. Of course, this does not mean that Wang Yuanqing does not have the ability to manage the economy. In fact, Wang Yuanqing's ability to develop the economy is definitely not inferior to Ji Youguo, nor is it worse than Gu Weimin. It is just that compared with other achievements he has achieved, Wang Yuanqing's economic achievements are not so outstanding.

In general, Yan Jingyu will never tolerate EU provocations for economic issues.

Of course, Yan Jingyu is not not not paying attention to the economic development of the Republic.

As early as the first high-level meeting of Yan Jing's office, he made a strategic development report related to the economy, which clearly mentioned that the Republic has the ability to maintain the long-term development of the country by relying on several market communities and free trade zones established without relying on other major economies, and ensure that when entering the next period of rapid economic growth, there will be no lack of overseas markets and resource markets.

It can be said that this report fully proves Yan Jingyu's economic talent.

According to Yan Jingyu's estimate, in the late or early days of the fall, the first thing the Republic had to consider was definitely not economic issues. Of course, this involved two situations, namely whether the world war broke out.

If the world war has already broken out or is about to break out, the main problem facing the Republic during this period is how to defeat the powerful United States and achieve the final victory of the war.

In the autumn of national survival, economic problems must be concessions. That is to say, the Republic's authorities will not encounter economic problems. If the world war does not break out and it is unlikely to break out, through the efforts to build around the years, several market communities and free trade zones with the Republic as the core, such as "China-ASEAN Free Trade Zone China-South Asia Market Community, Northeast Asian Market Community, China-Africa Free Trade Organization, etc., will enter the maturity, that is, the main member states are either already developed countries or will soon become developed countries. More importantly, the population of these countries will grow by more than twice on the basis of the old year, and some will grow several times, and the Republic will never lack overseas markets. In this case, the Republic does not have reason to worry about economic development. It is true that the Republic's authorities have no reason to make concessions to the EU on issues other than the economy for the sake of the EU's market?

In Yan Jingyu's view, it is not that the republic needs the EU more, but that the EU needs the Republic more.

In any case, the Republic is a unified country, while the EU is a confederate international organization of multiple countries. In this way, the Republic can "six closely related European countries, such as Greece, Romania, Serbia and Ship and Lion Bowei, and even obstruct the EU's reunification. The problem is that the EU does not have the ability to interfere in the internal affairs of the Republic, and at least it is impossible for the Republic authorities to reserve some of the EU's influence when formulating strategic plans, and even tolerate some excessive measures of the EU.

The same is true for Shili.

In Limingnian, Yan Jingyu visited several European countries and visited several European countries within the month. In the following month, leaders of European countries such as France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Poland, Belgium, Austria, and the Czech Republic officially visited the Republic, which forced Yan Jingyu to let Prime Minister Yan Shanglong receive the leaders of these countries. Fortunately, most European countries implement the "Parliamentary Prime Minister system." That is, the actual leader of the country is the Prime Minister, not the head of state, so it is not an exaggeration to let the Premier of the State Council receive them.

When these European leaders visited the Republic, they mentioned without exception the traditional friendly relations between the Republic and the EU and the importance of bilateral trade exchanges. They hoped that the Republic could maintain its original policies in relevant aspects and strengthen cooperation with the EU. The implication is that the Republic's authorities are a bit too far-fetched on certain issues and do not relieve the EU's status in diplomacy and trade.

Obviously, such visits are not much different from begging.

Although in the first half of the Daogou year, the trade exchanges between the Republic and the EU showed a recovery in the second half of the Daobi fiscal year. It is expected that in the Yo fiscal year, the EU will surpass the African Union and become the Republic's third largest trading partner, and the gap with the previous two will be very small, Yan Jingyu did not find any trouble changing the basic policy to the EU, that is, as long as the EU refuses to make concessions to the land aid, the Republic's authorities will not actively encourage trade exchanges with Europe, nor will they export key technologies to the EU.

Just two months ago, at the last plenary congress of the Good Financial Year, Yan Jingyu personally rejected the proposal to abolish the EU's technology ban initiated by Ma Jinghe and other old representatives, extending the validity period of the Technology Export Control Act by another one year, and increasing the scope of control, including some dual-use military and civilian technologies that can be exported after special approval were included in the control scope. Because the United States has long since no longer expected to obtain cutting-edge technology from the Republic, and other countries do not have the ability to digest the Republic's cutting-edge technology, the bill is mainly aimed at countries close to the United States, especially developed economies like the EU that are capable of digesting cutting-edge technology.

Yan Jingyu's move has had a great impact on the EU integration process. You should know that several European countries that are closely related to the Republic are also within the limits, and these countries hope to accelerate economic development through advanced technologies provided by the Republic and catch up with France, Germany, Italy and other countries. Among them, the most active one is Greece. In early July, the Greek government stated that if the EU cannot achieve satisfactory results in the technical cooperation negotiations with the Republic at the end of the year and let the Republic lift the technology export restrictions, Greece will reconsider the country's appointment. The address of this site has been changed to: Just a sip of milk...8. Please log in to the Valve!

Although Greece is just a small country and is no longer the center of civilization in Europe, as one of the several emerging economic powers in Europe, Greece has a very small influence.

More importantly, if Greece suddenly announced its withdrawal from the EU like it did a few years ago, it is likely to have a domino effect, causing many EU member states such as Romania, Bulgaria, Serbia, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, etc. to make the same choice, which leads to decades of efforts by traditional European and Zhejiang powers such as France, Germany, Italy and Europe to fail.

That's right, some people believe that Yan Jingyu has issued the final communication to the EU.

According to the editorial published by AFP at the end of June, when the head of republic rejected the proposal to abolish the Technology Export Control Act, Beijing's impact on EU integration had exceeded Washington, and the Republic became the number one target that the EU must attach great importance to.

Regardless of the pound or comment, the EU has only the last choice, which is the "China-Europe Technical Cooperation Strategy Negotiation" held at the end of the year. Although this is just an informal negotiation at the ministerial level and the previous efforts have not had much impact for many years, almost all Europeans discovered two months ago that this ministerial meeting held in Pailin a few months later will definitely affect the future of Europe and every European.

Against this background, Yan Jingyu naturally would not think that the Republic should help the EU promote integration.

It is obvious that in the past few years, most of the Republic's policies were to curb the EU's integration process, and at least did not actively help the EU promote integration.

It is precisely because when Pei Chengyi mentioned the EU, Yan Jingyu would react like that.

As a national leader, Yan Jingyu is very clear that in international relations, there are no eternal friends and enemies, only eternal interests. Whether it is to attack the EU or support the EU, it is not determined by the mood of the leader, but by the national interests of the republic. If helping the EU promotes the integration process is beneficial to the republic, then the leader should put down his airs and take positive actions.
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