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Volume Fourteen, Smoke of Gunpowder, Chapter Two, the Decline of Great Powers

Among the many neighboring countries of the Republic... Russia seems to be the most unique.

As mentioned earlier, as early as the Jijuan era, the Republic emphasized that it would not settle old accounts with Russia. Although in the eyes of many people, this was a stopgap solution for the Republic. After all, at that time, there were strong enemies around the Republic. They had to deal with challenges from the other side of the Pacific and could not create an opponent that could not be defeated in the short term. Therefore, the Republic's policy toward Russia was mainly stable, and after replacing the United States, they would naturally attack Russia. However, it was impossible for the Republic and the Russian authorities to commit such a major issue.

Confused. After all, a promise cannot be true. Only a treaty with black and white words is binding. After several years of negotiations and three years of force, the Republic and Russia formally signed the Sino-Russia Border Investigation Treaty with complete legal efficiency, and formally determined the border between the two countries. In this treaty, Russia returned the other half of the Heixiazi Island to the Republic. Under this treaty, unless the republic authorities are willing to launch a war that must have no moral support, there is no reason to provoke Russia on its own initiative.

It is this treaty that maintains the bilateral relations between the Republic and Russia.

In a sense, this less conspicuous treaty allowed two world-class powers that could destroy human civilization to coexist peacefully for decades. It can be said that after the Fourth India-Pakistan War, the "Shanghai Cooperation Organization" advocated by the Republic and Russia became in name only because of the serious differences between the two countries on the South Asian subcontinent. This difficult treaty became the cornerstone of the relationship between the two countries. According to former Russian President Putin, who died at the age of 2018, he died in a fierce year at the age of 2018.

Recalling the memory, around the New Year, with the arrival of the global Great Depression, Russia and the Republic had serious differences on many issues. Some Russian Federation officials even advocated getting closer to the United States and jointly restraining the Republic with the United States, and preventing Russia from taking up the American chariot was the real relationship between the two sides, that is, without direct conflict, Russia had no reason to help the United States deal with the Republic. Of course, for the same reason, Russia had no reason to help the Republic deal with the United States.

In a sense, an independent Russia is a major guarantee for world peace.

According to Putin's recollection, during the Great Depression, Russia's economy encountered great trouble, almost reaching the point where it needed to be weak and silent to solve the problem.

Although Putin has always insisted that Russia's ability to "revitalize" is mainly due to the Russian nation's efforts and has nothing to do with foreign aid, some more objective and fair Russian historians and economists believe that Russia's ability to move forward steadily in the Great Depression without reaching a collapse, and maintaining good relations with the Republic played a crucial role.

In fact, Russian official chess did not deny it.

According to the economic data released by the Russian official between the reunion and the auspicious years, until the 2nd distillation year, the Republic is still Russia's largest trading partner, Russia's largest exporter, and Russia's largest source of foreign exchange. Even in the Liaco year, the RMB still accounts for a strong proportion of Russian foreign exchange, which is the most foreign exchange held by Russia. In the words of some Russian economists, if there was no large market of the Republic and the huge demand for raw materials in the Republic, Russia would not have been able to have nowhere to be left without the huge market of the Republic and the huge demand for raw materials in the Republic, Russia would not have been left without the Republic's huge market and the Republic's huge demand for raw materials.

During the war, they survived the Great Depression safely. Some Russian scholars believe that it was the many wars launched by the Republic before the Hokyu New Year that brought the Russian economy back to life. For example, after the Peninsula War, North Korea carried out post-war reconstruction, which not only allowed Russia to export a large amount of resources, but also caused global resource prices to rise. Although Russia did not participate in Japan's post-war reconstruction, and even had no relationship with India's post-war reconstruction, every war would lead to an increase in resource prices, thus bringing benefits to Russia.

All in all, Russia has taken advantage of the Republic.

The problem is that this did not enhance the relationship between the two countries, but instead caused the relationship between the two countries to sharply reverse.

If we start from the traditional ideas of the Chinese nation, Russia should thank the Republic, but from the traditional ideas of Russia, we should not only not thank the Republic, but also be highly vigilant about the Republic. Because a powerful neighbor that can influence Russia's destiny is definitely the biggest threat to Russia.

More importantly, Russia is a nation that expands its concubine country.

In just a few hundred years, Russia has developed from a grand priest around Moscow to a world-class power with the largest land area in the world, and at its peak, even a superpower on par with the United States. Everything comes from foreign expansion. It can be said that since the day of getting rid of the Mongols, Russia has been expanding abroad, and each expansion can bring new territory. Even in the early 2000s, when its national strength was at its worst, Russia still did not forget to expand abroad, and used a blitzkrieg to eliminate the stubborn enemy in the Caucasus region and exterminated the United States' ambitions.

For such a country, "good neighbor" is definitely a delusion.

Of course, it is impossible for the Republic authorities to not understand Russia.

In terms of bilateral relations, the Republic first thanked Russia. In the words of Ji Yuguo's visit to Moscow in Li Nian and signed the Sino-Russian Border Investigation Treaty with the Russian President, without Russia's strong help, the Republic would not have been able to speak out. In just a few years, it became an industrialization process that took decades for the Western world to complete, and had a relatively complete industrial system.

To be honest, although most of the industrial equipment that Russia and the Soviet Union aided to the Republic back then collected money, with the international environment at that time, especially the international status of the Republic, without the help of Russia, even if the Republic authorities had not received money, they would not have been able to buy so many industrial equipment from other countries, and it would be even more impossible for thousands of technical experts to lay the industrial foundation within a few years. You should know that the industrial foundation laid by the Republic after its founding, even after the Year of the Demonstration, would still play a major role in the modernization of the Republic, and would have the ability to implement reforms that change the day in times of difficulties, thus becoming a world power in one fell swoop.

This relationship makes it impossible for the leaders of the Republic to not understand Russia, nor to be careful of Russia.

You know, the first honeymoon between the Republic and Russia ended with bitter fruit.

Even in the 1990s and 1990s, the Republic and Russia ushered in the second honeymoon period. Neither side got too close, but took what they needed and used.

That's why after the old year, the relationship between the Republic and Russia seemed extremely special.

On major international issues, the Republic and Russia's attitudes were basically consistent. The most representative one was the Iran War that broke out in Likounmeng. At that time, when the whole world was threatened by the United States and did not dare to express its views, the Republic reached a secret alliance with Russia, provided military assistance to Iran, helped Iran to combat the US invasion and eventually helped Iran defeat the invaders. However, in some trivial matters, the relationship between the Republic and Russia was not so harmonious. For example, the South China Sea War broke out two years after the outbreak of the Iran War. When the Republic sent troops to help Laos fight the invading Vietnam and helped the Vietnamese Prime Minister pacify the military coup, Russia expressed strong protests, believing that the Republic had brutally interfered in the internal affairs of Southeast Asian countries.

This relationship of good and bad sometimes just shows the fundamental national interests of the Republic and Russia.

Yili's international situation after the old year, before the outbreak of the global depression, because the impact of the global financial crisis in Lili's outbreak was fading, Russia once again developed the ambition to dominate the world and challenged the United States in front of all parties. For example, in Dao. Nian built the latest strategic nuclear submarine in the world at that time, and the Republic was also working hard to make progress, hoping to become a world power like the United States, so when there are common interests, it will naturally challenge the United States together. If there are conflicts of interests, it will be divided into different ways.

Of course, this situation did not last for a few years, and with the arrival of the Great Depression, Russia declined rapidly.

In fact, almost all historians believe that the global depression at the end of the old century was a major watershed in the world pattern. From here, when major entities around the world were declining, only the Republic rose against the trend and thus became the most powerful country in the world.

This situation continued until it was soaring.

Judging from the Sino-Russian relations alone, the Indian War is definitely not a turning point.

Before the Indian War, Russia's policy toward China was a "friendly policy based on containment." That is, while ensuring the relatively stable basic relations, try to curb the rise of the republic and weaken the influence of the republic. Because of the lack of national strength and the main opponent of the republic is the United States, Russia did not forcibly stand on some major international issues, especially after the republic made a tough stance. Russia did not stand with the United States. The most representative one was the Japanese War. At that time, the whole world was condemning the republic authorities, and only Russia remained silent. This policy shows that Russia does not want a strong neighbor, especially a neighbor with a feud with Russia. In other words, Russia is facing the republic.

The country is born with a sense of wariness. It believes that the Republic will attack Russia after its strength. Because Russia is also a nuclear power, and it is a nuclear power in the first group. Like the United States and the Republic, it has nuclear weapons that can destroy the world. Therefore, in terms of China policy, Russia is still somewhat confident. It dares to compete with the republic authorities on some issues related to the fundamental interests of the country, and dares to implement some policies to contain the republic. Of course, from the heart, Russia does not have much confidence, especially when the Republic has demonstrated its military strength again and again, the Russian leaders must not be very sure of the Russian army, so they dare not fight against the republic on some issues related to the fundamental interests of the republic.

This "cowardice." reached its peak in the Indian War.

Because after the Fourth India-Pakistan War in 2019, India's relations came to an end, and India became an important ally of the United States and its relations with Russia were completely broken. Therefore, during the Indian War, Russia did not express protests, but just hoped that the Republic could consider more the harm the war brought to civilians.

Russia's attitude is largely because the Russian authorities have recognized the strength of the Republic and the courage of the Republic. From the standpoint of Russia, the Republic can use Tian Wan's army to defeat a country with a land area of ​​more than 10,000 square kilometers and a population of 100 million in half a year, and can defeat the much smaller population of the country in the same way. More importantly,

The country was very calm during the Indian War and did not connect India's nuclear arsenal in its eyes. At the right time, it destroyed India's nuclear arsenal in one fell swoop, causing India to lose its strategic threat capability. This proves that the Republic's national strategic defense system has initially formed and has a certain practical interception capability. Moreover, the Republic's strategic strike capability, especially the attack capability of the enemy's strategic weapon system, has reached an astonishing height, and may even surpass the United States.

All in all, the Indian War made the Russian authorities realize that the Republic was no longer a settled neighbor.

Affected by this, after the Indian War, Russia quickly adjusted its national policy and began to move closer to the EU. It even released the idea of ​​establishing a "Great European Union" with the EU.

Of course, the Russian authorities are just trying to find someone to take care of.

Given Russia's situation at that time, it was too late to improve relations with the Republic. More importantly, from the standpoint of the Russian authorities, if it actively extends an olive branch to the Republic, it would only be considered a treason, and thus was firmly opposed by the State Duma. It is not realistic to move closer to the United States. After all, the United States is the first opponent after Russia's independence, and it can even be said to be the culprit that Russia's decline. Even though many scholars have realized that in the unlikely event of becoming a superpower, Russia's only way out is to rely on the United States, actively assist the United States in fighting with the Republic, and strive for the opportunity to dominate the world after the US-China confrontation. The problem is, from the perspective of national feelings, if there is no shock or an opportunity that can be seen by the people, Russia is unlikely to surrender to the United States. The rest is the only way to protect Russia's global interests with the EU alliance, which is also in the second group.

In fact, the alliance between Russia and the EU has achieved results and is a major achievement.

In a sense, the London Treaty is closely related to the Russian-European Union, rather than signing completely according to the Republic and the United States' vision, becoming a dominant treaty between two superpowers and suppressing potential opponents.

The problem is that the EU has not even handled its own affairs well, so how could it be possible to form a "big European Union" with Russia.

More importantly, the primary problem of the EU is the lack of a core country that can play a leading role, forcing France, Germany and Italy to unite to promote the integration process. If Russia is involved, the result will inevitably be a scattered person and marginalize France, Germany and Italy. Mu Yong doubted that such a result must be something that France, Germany and Italy do not want to see. Therefore, in the "Great European Union, France, Germany and Italy, the enthusiasm of France, Germany and Italy is not high enough. Because the EU was originally an economic integration organization, when political integration was started, the economies of the EU member states were closely linked, so when France, Germany and Italy would not accept Russia, most other member states would not be responsible for Russia.

In short, the Russian-European Union is not working either.

That's right, around the age of 10, Russia once again spoke of "independence thought."

In any case, by this time, the global economy has recovered, and Russia's huge investment in infrastructure and scientific research has begun to show returns, such as composite batteries with independent intellectual property rights, and controllable fusion nuclear power plants based on room temperature superconducting technology. These have made Russia's economic development change and must be recognized that Russia is the country with the strongest basic conditions in the world. As long as internal problems are solved, Russia is completely likely to become a superpower. The problem is that in the coincidence, Russia did not solve all internal problems, such as the most serious problem, that is, the same as the Republic, the aging problem of population like the Republic has not been obtained.

Decision.

Affected by this, Russia's economic development was not smooth during the Tuotian period.

It can be said that this is a very serious problem. You should know that during this old age, even the Republic and the United States seized all opportunities to promote economic development and even introduced many stimulus policies to allow the economy to grow in an unhealthy way, that is, at an excessively fast rate.

Doing so is to prepare for war and to make up for the shortcomings during the Great Depression. In short, with the rapid growth of the global economy, Russia's economy will not have any good results.

As the second half of the century entered the spiral, as economic problems accumulate into crisis again, Russia's good days are over.

Strictly speaking, whether it is domestic or international conflicts, they are mostly caused by the economy. In the words of an American philosopher, if there was no global financial crisis in the year, the Republic and other countries would not be forced into a dead end. There would be no subsequent Great Depression and major changes.

For Russia, the same is true.

Only in the economic downturn will the Russian authorities try every means to shift domestic conflicts outward.

It is precisely because Russia has brazenly sent troops to Kazakhstan during the past years. In fact, according to Al Jazeera's report at the time, Kazakhstan's military coup was not unrelated to Russian intelligence agencies, and it was a conspiracy of Russian directors from the beginning.
Chapter completed!
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