Chapter Thirteen Active Planning
The issue of the war in Shenzhen. The meeting and atmosphere suddenly became tense. As most people expected, after introducing the general situation, Yuan Chenhao turned the topic to Central Asia and continued to advocate the necessity and importance of going to war with Russia.
Before becoming Chief of Staff, Yuan Chenhao advocated taking action against Russia.
In the early 6th year, a military coup broke out in Kazakhstan, and Russia brazenly sent troops. After the Military Intelligence Bureau confirmed that the coup was related to Russian intelligence agencies, there were voices of sending troops to Kazakhstan to control the Greater and Central Asia. At that time, Yuan Chenhao clearly supported the use of tough tactics to control the Central Asia region.
The so-called "Greater Central Asian region" includes six countries including Afghanistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. After the withdrawal of the United States, the Republic supported the pro-China regime in Afghanistan through Pakistan and won over Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan through the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, so at the end of the era, the Republic's influence in Central Asia exceeded Russia.
After the Middle East War, the Republic and Russia held formal consultations on the Central Asian region for the first time. The sphere of influence of the two countries was clarified. The consultations continued until the end of the year, which was before the second phase of the London Treaty cuts were about to begin. The Republic made a major concession, recognizing Russia's dominance in Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. Russia recognized the Republic's dominance in Afghanistan, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. Because Saxony is the number one power in the region, not only has the largest land area, the largest population and the richest resources, it is also a strategic buffer zone between Russia and the Republic, so neither side has the dominance.
It can be seen that Russia has crossed the warning line by controlling Kazakhstan through a military coup
It is precisely because of this that there was a voice of "punishment" Russia within the Republic's army.
The problem is that the Republic and Russia did not sign any practical international treaties on the Central Asia issue. After all, the two major powers divided the Central Asian region and interfered in the internal affairs of the six countries. It would not make sense wherever they were placed. More importantly, the two countries reached a secret agreement after the Middle East War, that is, the United States' influence was increasing at that time. In order to avoid allowing the United States to interfere in Central Asia again, neither the Republic nor Russia made a big statement. In the end, the two countries' sphere of influence in Central Asia was confirmed by the secret agreement.
In this way, if the Republic wants to make a fortune by relying on the Kazakhstan military coup, there is a problem that the division is not famous.
For Yuan Chenhao, he was the director of the Operations Department of the General Staff at that time. Even though he was already the first person in the General Staff, his influence exceeded that of the General Staff, but his voice was still very limited in major decisions.
In the early 7th year, after officially taking office as Chief of Staff, Yuan Chenhao began to promote the "Russian Threat Theory"
Putting aside personal factors, Yuan Chenhao's remarks on many occasions are enough to be considered by the outside world as a signal that the Republic is preparing to take action against Russia, and it may even be considered as the Republic's final propaganda management for the war. As the chief of staff of the Republic's army, Shi Huo never forgets the threat from the north, which is a very clear signal in itself. Of course, it is indeed impossible to rule out the profound intention of the Republic's authorities in this matter, that is, to use Yuan Chenhao's remarks to make the war deeply rooted in the hearts of the people. A reminder for the people at home and abroad, so as not to feel that it is too much when the war breaks out.
Abrupt. More importantly, Yuan Chenhao's remarks actually gave the republic authorities more choices. From another perspective, if the republic first attacked Russia after the war, or directly launched a war with Russia, it would make people feel completely reasonable, because the chief of staff of the republic army had long "sayed hello" even if the actual situation was just the opposite, that is, the republic did not take the initiative to attack Russia and even did not regard Russia as an enemy. It would make people feel that there was a certain reason. After all, it would be a simple military strategy to fight against the east and attack the west.
The problem is that in this matter, personal factors cannot be ruled out.
As mentioned many times before, let alone surpass Pei Chengyi, if you want to achieve military achievements like Pei Chengyi, Yuan Chenhao must have more achievements in the army.
Becoming the Chief of General Staff is only the first step, and how to be a good Chief of General Staff is the key. More importantly, before Yuan Chenhao, except for the former Chief of General Staff, the other Chief of General Staff had made great achievements. Even Lin Xiaolei from the Navy commanded the Republic's army to fight a few beautiful battles. If we only look at the Chief of General Staff from the Army, Peng Maobang and Xiang Yinghui before Yuan Chenhao were even more famous for their military achievements and were famous for their military commanders. As we all know, since Lin Xiaolei, the term of the Chief of General Staff was shortened to the old year, and it will only get shorter and shorter, not longer. In this way, if Yuan Chenhao wants to become the Military Commander who is famous for his military commander, he must seize every opportunity.
To use the comments of some Western news media, the one who wants to fight the most is not Pei Chengyi, but Yuan Chenhao.
Let’s not talk about whether this comment is too biased, it is indeed the case based on the actual situation. For Pei Chengyi, the amount of military achievements is meaningless. At least after he became the head of state, what the people care about most is not military achievements, but the ability to govern the country. For Yuan Chenhao, the situation is just the opposite. Even if he is already the chief of staff, if he wants the entire army to believe in his strength, he must make new achievements on the battlefield.
When it comes to real issues, Yuan Chen cannot be ignored
Although no one denies the dominance of the army in the world war, no matter what, the larger the war, the more important the army is, when facing specific problems, the generals of the Republic's army represented by Yuan Chenhao must hope to fight a war with their backs, rather than fighting thousands of kilometers away from their homeland like the Middle East War. This does not mean that Yuan Chenhao is afraid of fighting abroad, nor does it mean that the combat effectiveness of the Republic's army is problematic. As the commander of the army, the impact of the full war must be considered.
To put it bluntly, going north to use troops is related to local security.
In fact, this is also the fundamental reason why Yuan Chenhao has always emphasized that the use of military forces in Central Asia should be given priority.
In the early days, the "China-South Asia Community Market" was expanded into "China-Central Asia-South Asia Free Economic Cooperation Zone." More than 0 countries, including the six Central Asian countries, integrated into this large economy dominated by the republic. According to the plan, they eventually formed six Central Asian countries, eight South Asian countries Pakistan, India, Nepal, Sikkim, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and the Maldives, Southeast Asian countries Myanmar, Thailand, Laos, Shupu, Vietnam, and Brunei.
, Malaysia, Singapore and Indonesia, East Asian countries, North Korea and Ryukyu, after Japan announced its re-founding in recent years, the Republic recognized Ryukyu as an independent sovereign in the same year, as well as a global economy centered on the republic, including Iran, Iraq, Syria, Sudan and other countries. In this huge strategic framework, Central Asia is not only a strategic buffer zone between the Republic and Russia, but also a springboard for the Republic to West Asia and North Africa. Its importance is self-evident.
Some people may think that this has nothing to do with local security.
In fact, "local security" is by no means a simple security issue. From the standpoint of a world power, local security not only includes security issues in the sense of transmission, but also security issues in the fields of economy, trade, diplomacy, etc. When building a strategic framework, the Republic also fully considered the impact of the war on local security. Not to mention, before the outbreak of the Indian War, the Republic spent a huge amount of money to build a railway from Lush to Islamabad. At that time, many people believed that this was the Republic doing this to strategically encircle India. The problem was that after the Indian War, the Republic not only did not give up the railway, but also expanded it to accelerate the capacity. It increased the annual traffic capacity from blades and ten thousand tons to 10,000 tons, and after the second phase of the acceleration project was completed, it would be increased to 10,000 tons. If the third phase of the acceleration project was successfully completed, it would be able to reach 10,000 tons by the beginning of the year.
The Republic spent a huge amount of money to build a railway line from the Arabian Sea through the Pamir Plateau to Xinjiang. The fundamental purpose is to improve the security of the necessary material trade line. To put it bluntly, materials from the Gulf, Middle East and East Africa only need to reach the Gwadar Port or Karachi Port in Pakistan to be transported to the Republic by railway, without going to the East Indian Ocean, nor through the Strait of Malacca. Considering the United States' military presence in Digo Garcia and northwest Australia
In this transportation route can greatly improve the transportation security of important strategic materials. No one can deny that this transportation route is closely related to the Central Asian region. Imagine that if Russia controls the Central Asian region, even if it only controls a few republics of the former Soviet Union and does not enter Afghanistan, the Russian troops deployed in Tajikistan can pose a fatal threat to this transportation route. At least it will force the republic to deploy heavy troops in Central Asia.
There is no room for business when it comes to strategic security issues.
As early as the high-level military meeting at the beginning of the year, Yuan Chenhao emphasized the importance of the Central Asian strategic transportation line. According to his view, although the transportation capacity of this transportation line was only about 100 million tons during the war, which was only about one-tenth of the total amount of materials imported through the Indian Ocean, this one-tenth of the capacity could determine the victory or defeat of the war, because among the important strategic resources that the republic needs to import, there are ugly species from West Asia and East Africa, and seven of them are the main production areas in West Asia and East Africa. More importantly, as the most important strategic resource, there are major production areas of rare metal mines in the world: Laos in Southeast Asia, Sudan in East Africa, Nigeria in West Africa, and Nigeria in West Africa, and Peru in South America, Chile and Bolivia in Oceania. The actual production areas of Australia are also the Republic, the United States and Russia.
However, these three countries either sealed all rare metal ores or did not export to the outside world. Laos, Sudan and Nigeria are close to the Republic. Laos is close to them and will not be affected too much. Nigeria is far away in West Africa and has little availability during wartime. The key is Sudan in East Africa. By the past years, rare metal ores and rare metal primary products imported from Sudan accounted for about 40% of the total consumption of the Republic. It can be seen that ensuring the smooth entry of Sudan into the Republic is definitely the key to ensuring the normal operation of the Republic's war machine. Although the efficiency of sea transportation is much higher than that of land transportation, and it is usually mainly sea transportation, during wartime, the risk of sea transportation is much higher than that of land transportation, so ensuring the railway transportation line from Pakistan to the northwest of the Republic is crucial.
Based on this purpose, Yuan Chenhao has always insisted on setting the Central Asia region as a major war zone.
Because Yuan Chenhao has always been responsible for formulating the war plan. Therefore, in the previous few plans submitted for deliberation, Central Asia was regarded as the main battlefield, and they all used active attacks to resolve the crisis.
If necessary, the country should lead the well to Russia.
To this end, at the beginning of the year, Yuan Chenhao clearly mentioned in the war plan numbered "Ayuzhou" that under the active attack, the Republic's army can sweep the entire Central Asian region in only 6 months at most, annihilate the Russian army entrenched in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, and push the front line to the east bank of the Volga River. Even if it does not advance to Russia, it can ensure strategic advantages in the Central Asian region. Of course, the most important thing in the entire plan is not the combat time and scope, but combat investment. According to Yuan Chenhao's estimate, as long as the attack is decisive and rapid, at most, only one main combat unit and a standard combat unit are needed, that is, one should invest in millions of ground troops.
In order to strengthen the independent combat capabilities of the army, independent artillery units have been added in previous years. The scale of the organization is equivalent to that of the artillery brigade of the combat units. The consumption speed of ammunition and other combat materials is between 10,000 tons per day and 10,000 tons per month. The total consumption in 6 months is about 10,000 tons. Although the total amount of material investment is very amazing. It far exceeds the Middle East War, it is not surprising to consider the scope of the war zone and the combat opponents, as well as the basic combat nature. More importantly, if only tens of millions of ground troops are needed, it will not have much impact on the Republic's combat operations in other directions.
It can be said that Yuan Chenhao's plan is attractive.
According to unconfirmed information, Yan Jingyu, then head of state, was very interested in this plan and even talked to Yuan Chenhao several times alone.
The problem is that in this plan, Yuan Chenhao posted a very critical issue.
That is, it is easy to start a war, but it is difficult to end the war.
As the saying goes, riding a tiger is easy to get rid of a tiger but it is difficult to get rid of it.
Actively launching an offensive in Central Asia is equivalent to declaring war on Russia. Although it is not difficult to defeat Russia with the national strength of the Republic. In the words of some generals, let alone driving Russia out of Central Asia, as long as the Republic can bear enough casualties and losses in war, it can even drive Russia out of Asian states. However, the war with Russia is definitely not a limited local war. The Military Intelligence Agency has long confirmed that Russia and the United States have signed secrets.
Military Alliance Treaty. As long as the Republic's army crosses the border and enters Russia, the United States will declare war on the Republic. After the war breaks out, Russia will definitely hold itself to the death. No one can guarantee that the Republic's army will not cross the border. In fact, Yuan Chenhao's plan has clearly mentioned that if necessary, the Republic's army will cross the border. That is to say, the war with Russia is actually the opening ceremony of the World War. From the actual situation
The situation begins, the United States will definitely not wait until Russia is beaten to death before joining the war, and will definitely actively respond to the challenges of the Republic. In short, when the war ends, the Republic must be prepared for a world war, and don’t expect to defeat Russia with a local war. As long as it is a world war, the Republic’s army will not stay in Central Asia. It will definitely be pursuing the victory. At that time, even if the Republic’s army does not fight, the Russian army will fight.
Neither a politician nor a military strategist would risk giving up the initiative. In other words, the Republic must have to invest heavily in the direction of Central Asia, to be precise, Russia will not solve the problem. The troops falling from the ground may not necessarily defeat Russia. At that time, 40,000 or even millions of ground troops will be invested. There is no doubt that such a huge investment will inevitably have an impact on the Republic's combat operations in other directions.
From another perspective, isn’t this the fundamental purpose of the United States actively trying to win over Russia and inciting Russia to create trouble in Central Asia? It is precisely because Yan Jingyu left this difficult problem to Pei Chengyi.
Some people may think that Pei Chengyi, who was a soldier, was more proactive in war strategies. The problem is that Pei Chengyi must be cautious when it comes to Russia.
explain
To put it bluntly, is whether the Republic should take the lead in fighting with Russia.
Objectively speaking, if Russia can be guaranteed, it can be said that the Republic has been working for this goal. Otherwise, it would not be giving up on some key issues, or even turning a blind eye to the secret alliance between the United States and Russia. No matter what, as long as Russia does not participate in the war, the army has not reached Hawaii, and Alaska is also the United States, and Russia has no obligation to participate in the war. The result is obvious that Russia must want to join the war at the most favorable time. If Russia strictly follows the secret alliance treaty, that is, the Republic's army will only join the war after it takes the United States to join the war, which will not have much impact on the war. Because by this time, the United States' defeat has been decided. Russia's participation in the war or not joining the war cannot change the outcome of the war. From this, it can be seen that the secret alliance treaty of the United States is actually a treaty that is only beneficial to Russia, and it is an alliance treaty of the United States to win over Russia.
The question is, will Russia wait until the last moment to join the war?
The leaders of the Republic can repeatedly tolerate Russia, but they cannot ignore this issue.
Chapter completed!