Volume Fourteen, Smoke of Gunpowder, Chapter 26, Qualitative Analysis
After Secretary Blade explained, Chelwinsky turned toward everyone. The old people had already expressed their opinions, so everyone's attention was on the commander of the army.
"According to customary practice, I will first introduce the inspection situation in the past two months.
As soon as Cherwinsky spoke, the atmosphere in the room eased a lot. Everyone knew that Cherwinsky was Chiliakov's best friend. Therefore, when the president's attitude was still ambiguous, many people were worried that the army commander would come out to oppose the vice president's view. Cherwinsky did not directly enter the topic of war, but started with the basic situation of the Russian army, and it was rare to show that he would not fight against Jodnovic.
Of course, Chelwinsky will not introduce the basic situation.
Although Russia is not a major overseas military power, even if it has several overseas military bases, it is concentrated in the surrounding areas. The only one that can be considered a foreign military base in Shanghai is the Chaves Naval Comprehensive Base in Venezuela. However, Russia has a vast territory, with huge spans at the east and west ends, and a complex ethnic structure. Therefore, as early as the beginning of the century, in order to strengthen the central government's rule, the Russian authorities abolished the military region system left over from the former Soviet Union. It changed it to the theater system and established several theaters. After decades of development and change, it has been developed and changed.
By the middle of the century, Russia's war zone system was improved and consolidated. The local area was divided into four major war zones from east to west, namely the Far East War Zone, the Siberian War Zone, the Ural Caucasus War Zone and the Central Western War Zone. Each war zone has a war zone headquarters, as well as several regional functional headquarters. Because the main tasks of the local war zone are to protect national security, fight against natural disasters, maintain social stability, fight separatist forces, etc., the army occupied an absolute dominant position in these four war zones.
The importance of the four major war zones is not exactly the same, and will change with the international situation. For example, at the beginning of the century, affected by the eastward expansion of NATO and the EU, the Central and Western War Zones became particularly important, and the Caucasus War Zone was also valued due to local rebellions such as the Chechnya War. After the Third Chechnya War, the Russian authorities adjusted their basic strategy. Shake hands with NATO and the Western countries represented by the EU, and instead concentrate their efforts to compete with the Republic in Central Asia. Therefore, the Siberian War Zone was valued, and the Far East War Zone directly facing the Republic was also appropriately strengthened.
Cherwinsky briefly introduced these basic situations in just a few words, and then got to the topic. "First of all, we have to admit that in the past few decades, the theater system has enabled us to use relatively low national defense costs, maintain local security and interests, and enable us to ensure the unity and integrity of the country in the case of significant disarmament and reduction of personnel. However, we cannot ignore the disadvantages of the theater system, and we cannot ignore the huge loopholes in national defense construction. Maybe everyone thinks I am exaggerating, so let me give you a very simple example. More than a month ago, when I visited the Far East War Zone, I encountered a rare rainstorm. The transport plane sent me to Vladivostok made a mistake.
The problem was not big, but a necessary part was broken and it could take off after being replaced with a new one. The problem was that Ulan Ud had no reserves and could only be transported from other places, so another transport aircraft had to air transport the small part from Vladivostok. Later I learned that it was in Irkutsk not far away. The parts were filled with a whole container, but because they belonged to two different war zones, we had to waste precious national resources for no reason. This was a period of peace, and only a little time wasted. If it was during the war, it would be more than time."
Before Chelwinsky finished speaking, the room became quiet, and at first the important officials who thought he was making a big deal showed serious expressions.
"Of course, some people may say that this is a natural defect of the theater system, and the army of other countries cannot be avoided. Indeed, any military system has its own disadvantages. The key problem is not whether there are any problems, but whether there is a way to solve the problem." Cherwinsky breathed a sigh of relief and said, "At least, as far as the information we have, the Chinese army was starting to solve the disadvantages of the theater system twenty years ago, when the theater system was just being implemented. You must know that in the war 16 years ago, the Chinese Army sent a war to the Chinese Army.
The eight combat units, of which only the first combat unit and the second combat unit belong to the battlefield, are located in the South Asian theater, and the other six combat units have nothing to do with the South Asian theater. It is such a unit that looks like a temporary pieced together, defeating three times its own US troops in just a few dozen days, and defeating Turkey and destroying Israel. Think about it in a different position, let alone 16 years ago, do we have such strength now? Let me say that if we really want to draw one army from each of the four major war zones to form a legion, that is the real mob
Speaking of this, Chelwinsky finally made some people unable to sit still.
"This is a problem with the command system. I believe that after entering the wartime state, as long as the command system is appropriately adjusted and the responsibility relationship is clarified, it can be solved easily.
.Air Commander General Cracoff paused for a moment, noting the look handed over by Jodnovic, and said, "It is undeniable that people and things have troubled us for decades and are difficult to effectively solve in peacetime. The problem is that this will not hinder our war operations. You must know that our country has the most complete local defense system in the world, the vastest country, and even has a different body clam that is very beneficial to us. It is a good place to read. In short, we cannot miss the opportunity for these small problems...
"Are these small problems?" Chelwinsky couldn't help it, and his voice was several degrees higher.
Facing the commander of the army, the commander of the Air Force who wanted to stand for the vice president was shocked and embarrassed. The same embarrassing was the vice president who had not stood up. After a few seconds of silence, Jodnovic gave a look to Cracoff, who was eager to speak and let the commander of the air force sit down.
In any case, Chelwinsky has a good grasp of the information and has a long-term strategic vision.
Although Cracoff is also an admiral, he is much worse than Chelwinsky in terms of personal abilities, qualifications and prestige. More importantly, if you continue to argue, there is no benefit to solving the problem, and what Jodnovic needs is an answer, rather than wasting time in meaningless arguments.
At this time, Chelyakov also realized that Chelwinsky had oversighted.
While Krachoff sat down, Chelyakov knocked on the table and said, "We cannot avoid problems, nor can we ignore them, but we do not need to be afraid of problems. Since we have found the problem, we should try to solve the problem instead of wasting time in unnecessary quarrels. Joseph Cherwinsky's name. You go around the military districts and find out the problems of our army. You must have come up with a solution, right?"
After the president said this, everyone turned their attention to the commander of the army again.
"Whether we can solve the problem depends on whether we can completely understand the problem, or whether we can understand the essence of the problem." Cherwinsky's tone also eased a lot, but his attitude was still firm and he did not have the slightest taste of compromise with Krachoff. "Although our military command system is a major source of the problem, the fundamental factor that leads to the high regional barriers of our army is still the basic national conditions of our country. The vast territory not only brings us resources and wealth, but also brings us countless troubles. In terms of the relationship between the central and local governments, compared with China and the United States, the central government of our country has the weakest control and restraint on local governments. Although these problems can be solved after entering the war state, who can solve the pain that has existed for decades during the war, especially those basic problems that require a lot of effort, huge resources, and a lot of time to solve?"
Cherwinsky said this, and even Crachoff sighed secretly.
"As we all know, after the Iran War, we began to adjust our basic strategy and regard China as the number one potential enemy country. We made careful arrangements and deployments for the comprehensive war with China. Although there is nothing wrong in the general direction. However, in many specific measures, we have failed to keep up with the pace of the times." Cherwinsky's expression was very serious, and it seemed that what we mentioned was no longer a military issue, but a life and death of Russia. "Fundamentally speaking, in terms of strategy towards China, we can only attack with defense instead of defense. Use our unparalleled strategic depth to prevent any enemy who intends to invade. In fact, since Peter the Great, no country has been able to cross the long-term situation since lasting Emperor Peter the Great.
Thousands of kilometers of Eastern European plains defeated us completely. Under the strategy of clearing the world by Marshal Kutuzov, the French army led by Napoleon fell into the wind and snow of Moscow. Under the steel defense line set up by Marshal Zhukov, Hitler's German army also fell into the cold snowstorm. Even so, it was still the same to attack eastward. It would be a more difficult thing to cross the vast Siberian plain, cross the Ural Mountains, and then cross the Volga River Basin. Mu Yong doubted. Strategic depth is definitely the best guarantee for our country's national security, and the vast Russian enemy is the natural grave of the invaders. However, we made a very serious mistake."
"General Chelwinsky, this is the highest decision-making meeting, don't be alarmist." Jodnovic finally couldn't sit still.
"Strange words? Chelwinsky glanced at the Vice President, smiled faintly, and said, "Your Excellency, if it is really alarmist, I will be happy and willing to take responsibility for my words and deeds. Unfortunately, what I mentioned is definitely not alarmist, but the fact that I cannot beat."
Before Jodnovic could react, Chelwinsky nodded to the meeting secretary.
The projector lights up, and a scaled-down, vast and spectacular three-dimensional map of Russia appears on the three-dimensional virtual projection screen in the center of the conference room.
"In our strategic defense deployment, we have always focused on large-depth defense, and thus established the theater system." Cherwinsky walked to the center of the conference room and used the touch system to control the projection map. "From the overall deployment, the defense depth of the Far East War Zone and the Siberian War Zone both meet the basic requirements, which can at least make the Chinese army think it has paid a heavy price. The key question is, does the Chinese army need to attack the Far East War Zone and the Siberian War Zone? For decades, the Chinese authorities have rejected Mongolia's merger request several times, just not wanting to arouse our suspicion. Therefore, some people believe that Mongolia maintains independence is equivalent to adding hundreds of kilometers of defense depth to us. Fifty years ago. This view is correct. The current situation is that China has not annexed Mongolia, but has been strengthening Mongolia's infrastructure, and all infrastructure has strategic value. In terms of railways and road construction, how many people in Mongolia are there? Nearly three
Over the past ten years, the Chinese authorities have built 5,000-kilometer railways and 20,000-kilometer high-grade highways in Mongolia with no cost investment, forming a transportation radiation network with Ulaanbaatar as the core. The Shanxi Lantiao Railway and the five highways tie Mongolia's transportation network with China's transportation Lizan. Such a huge, fine and complete transportation system is enough to play a decisive role in wartime. Similarly, as early as thirty years ago, China entered Central Asia in the same way, making comprehensive improvements to the transportation network in the central region, and built tens of thousands of kilometers of railways in Kazakhstan alone. Of course, some people must believe that our railways are different from China's railways, and can break the border railway transfer system to block the Chinese army, and our country's own strategic defense depth is enough. But this is the standard thirty years ago, and now, the dependence of the Chinese army on the ground transportation network has been reduced to a minimum.
"The Chinese army does not need to rely on ground transportation networks to launch an attack, but the combat materials of the Chinese army still have to be transported by railways and roads.
"It is true, and this is why China strengthens the transportation networks of Mongolia and Central Asian countries at all costs...
Giordnovi was stunned for a moment, then shut up because Chelwinsky had the point.
"Compared with the attack of troops, the urgency of material transportation is much lower. More importantly, as early as 16 years ago, the Chinese Army proved on the Middle East that, when relying entirely on air transport, it was enough to last for more than half a month. During this period, China's engineering troops were sure to be able to open up the ground transportation network Cherwinsky's long air outlet. He said, "In fact, the offensive distance of the Chinese Army has always been determined by two major factors, one is the delivery distance of the tactical air transport troops, and the other is the maximum range of long-range artillery. Since the South China Sea War, this rule has not been broken in every war that the Chinese Army participated in. According to the information already mastered, the Tactical Air Transport Department of the Chinese Army Air Force has been the Tactical Air Transport Department.
The team's throwing distance has long exceeded 2,500 kilometers, and it may even exceed 3,000 kilometers. The Chinese Army has equipped the latest electromagnetic guns, and the maximum range of long-range artillery must be more than 800 kilometers, or more than 1,000 kilometers. In comparison, what does our strategic depth count? If the previous guess is correct and I will command the Chinese Army, I will not attack along the ground transportation line. Instead, I will make full use of the strong strategic assault capabilities of the Chinese Army, quickly capture the important military towns and transportation hubs behind our strategic defense zone, cut the Siberian theater and the Far East theater, causing our army to completely lose the initiative and suffer a crushing defeat in passive defense."
"If this is true, the Chinese army will not be able to quickly cross the Ural Mountains." Krachoff stepped forward again and questioned as a general.
"Does the Chinese Army need to rush to cross the Ural Mountain?" Cherwinsky shook his head with a wry smile. He said, "From the actual situation, as long as the Asian region falls, we will be defeated. You must know that two-thirds of the many strategic resources that can allow us to persist are east of the Ural Mountain, and more than half of our many military-industrial enterprises are concentrated in the east of the Ural Mountain. If we lose these, even if we keep 70% of the population, it will be difficult to turn defeat into victory. You must know that compared with any previous enemy, China is the least short of soldiers, and our population is only one-sixth of China's population. More importantly, the Chinese Army is fully capable of quickly crossing the Ural Mountain. To be precise, it is from the Volga River Estuary Delta to enter our European region, forcing us to concentrate our efforts to defend Moscow and create opportunities for sweeping and controlling our Asian region. In this case, we have no last chance of winning."
Now, Crachoff also shut up.
Seeing that he had been almost done, Chelwinsky did not continue to be aggressive and looked at the president.
"General". Before Chelyakov spoke, Jodnovic said first, "According to your words, we will definitely lose this time. So I wonder, besides these qualitative analysis, is there any evidence, even less reliable information, to prove the general's point of view?"
Chelwinsky's brow jumped a few times, and his expression suddenly dimmed.
It has to be admitted that Jodnovic is an absolute politician, not only grasping the key points, but also making Chelwinsky shut his mouth in a very direct way.
"Boris Giodnovic's name. If you can't even determine the general direction, what's the point of specific evidence?"
"His Excellency President, this is the top priority in determining the fate of the country and nation. Can we make a decision based on the personal subjective judgment of several people without any evidence support?" Faced with Chiliakov who saved the scene, Giodnovic was not polite at all. "It is undeniable that the Chinese army is indeed strong enough, and it is even considered the most powerful military force today, but we have never been afraid of strong enemies. Are the French and German armies the world the most powerful army? Similarly, I also think that only when the general direction is determined can we make the right decision, but what I see is that all the evidence now proves that we are facing an excellent opportunity. If we miss this opportunity, the situations mentioned by General Cherwinsky will become a reality.
Chelyakov sighed secretly and cast helpless eyes at Cherwinsky.
Chapter completed!