Volume Four, Arms Empire, Chapter 48, Two Pieces of Heaven
, destined not to calm down.
After one year of his reign, Zhao Rundong's internal and external policies have seen the shadow of Ji Youguo. Whether it is adjusting the national security strategy or vigorously developing the ocean navy, it makes people believe that the head of republic, who was born as the Minister of Defense, will not make any compromises in foreign policy; Guangxi's pilot work, the "Four Acts" officially implemented nationwide and the administrative regulations of the central government, made more people believe in Zhao Rundong's courage and skills.
Compared with the United States, we have to say that "the scenery is the best here."
After occupying Khuzestan Province, the US military was trapped in the vast ocean of "people's war" and "guerrilla war". By December 311, 20177, there were 8,143 US military officers and soldiers who died on the battlefield of Iran, with 26,742 disabled, with a total loss of more than 2,400 yuan in various weapons and equipment, and the total value of ammunition and drugs consumed exceeded 5,000 yuan. Including various expenditures, the United States paid a total of 1 yuan for the Iran war. In the year of C18, the situation not only did not improve, but continued to deteriorate. Before the 1st, the number of US military officers and soldiers killed in 2018 reached 3,279, and it is estimated that the number of casualties will exceed 10,000 throughout the year.
On the 26th, on the first anniversary of the war between the United States and Iraq, the US Pentagon released the news of withdrawing troops from Iran.
Regarding the issue of the withdrawal of troops from Iraq, someone raised the issue of the withdrawal of troops as early as a year ago. The huge war expenses and the increasing casualties forced US President Frederick to consider withdrawing troops.
In addition to war, Frederick also managed to cope with the deteriorating domestic economy.
The depreciation of the US dollar can only solve the urgent problem. In the long run, the depreciation of the US dollar will not only be of no benefit to the US economy, but will also become a "time bomb" that may explode at any time.
The global trade war occurred simultaneously with the war and the sharp depreciation of the US dollar.
In the past 18 years, almost all countries have raised the "commodity entry threshold", set obstacles to other countries' products and enterprises entering their own markets in the name of "anti-dumping", "anti-subsidy", etc., and protected their own important industries. Take the United States as an example. In order to crack down on electric vehicles produced in China, the American Automobile Union filed an "anti-dumping" investigation to Congress, requiring punitive tariffs on electric vehicles and electric vehicle spare parts in China. Although Frederick finally approved the 350% punishment tariff, it eventually led to the extinction of high-quality and beautiful electric vehicles almost extinction in the United States, and most Americans had to choose internal combustion engine cars that were eliminated by electric vehicles again.
On the surface, doing so has injected vitality into the three major automobile companies in the United States and Land, but in fact it has directly led to the US economic recession.
As the US-Iran war broke out, oil prices rose from more than 1 USD before the war to 22 yuan per barrel in January 2018. Energy giants made a lot of money and profits. At the same time, American consumers' enthusiasm and consumption capacity were unprecedentedly arduous tests. In the second half of 20177, American automobile sales decreased compared with the second half of 20166. It is expected that local automobile sales in the first half of 2018 will decrease by more than 60% year-on-year. The rise in oil prices not only led to a shrinking automobile consumption. It also provided impetus for all other commodities to rise through rising logistics prices, rising electricity prices, and rising chemical raw materials prices. At the same time, American land assets and actual income shrank rapidly due to the sharp depreciation of the US dollar. U.S. domestic consumption suffered a heavy blow.
Without consumption, how can the economy develop?
For the US president, solving domestic problems is much more important than beating Iran.
Starting from March 2c18, Frederick solicited opinions from leaders of the two houses of Congress on whether to withdraw troops from Iran. This move shows that the "money burning operation" in the United States is about to end. Frederick is ready to tighten his wallet and concentrate on turning the benefits of the US-Iran war into actual benefits.
Compared with the United States, the EU is more wise. When fighting a trade war with China, the EU not only does not impose high tariffs on electric products such as electric vehicles. Instead, it allows member states to appropriately lower tariffs on electric vehicles and electric products within the prescribed scope. Chinese companies are allowed to establish production bases for electric vehicles and other electric products in Europe with European automobile manufacturers and other related companies in Europe through joint operations. Promote the "localization" of electric vehicles and other electric products.
When the ball financial crisis broke out, the Republic was also greatly affected.
It is mainly reflected in the reduction of foreign funds, the shrinking of international markets, and the reduction of enthusiasm of domestic investors. By July 20177, the economic development speed of the Republican region had dropped to its lowest point since January 2009, and there were shortages of funds and ineffective turnover in all walks of life.
In August 20177, Zhao Rundong officially approved domestic private enterprises to enter the composite battery production industry through capital investment.
The daring to make such a "major" decision is closely related to Longxiang New Energy Company's resolution on the automation operation and management technology of the composite battery production line in July 20177.
The Xindi production line only requires technicians, no longer requires technical workers.
By the end of that year, including + Yanbo's "Sanjian Group", a total of 17 domestic private enterprises were approved by the government (actually the Military Intelligence Bureau for managing composite battery technology) and were approved to establish composite battery production bases with Longxiang New Energy Company in 28 cities across the country through capital investment.
In February 2018, the first private production base was laid in Beihai, Guangxi.
According to the "Three Stalents-Longxiang New Energy"
"The external announcement, the infrastructure construction work of the production base will be completed in 2018, and the assembly and commissioning of the production line will be completed before August, and will be officially put into production in September. It is expected to produce the first batch of about 150,000 tons of composite batteries by the end of the year.
The other 27 production bases will also be put into production in 2018 and 2019.
With the start of construction of all production bases, by 20199, the production capacity of composite batteries is expected to increase by 12 times compared with 20177, and to reach the annual production level of 5.5 million tons by 2020.
The most important thing is that the price of composite batteries will drop by at least 50%.
While expanding the production capacity of composite batteries, domestic infrastructure is also being stepped up.
By the end of 20177, all 7,200 electric vehicle charging stations covering the "Yangtze River Delta" area were completed, and they had the ability to provide services to all types of electric vehicles. By the end of February 2018, all 6,800 charging stations covering the "Pearl River Delta" area were completed. It is expected that by the end of 2018, 11 charging stations covering the "Bohai Rim Region" and 5,600 charging stations covering the "Chengdu and Chongqing New Urban and Rural Pilot Zone", etc., a total of 5 regions will be fully completed, laying the foundation for the promotion of charging vehicles nationwide.
The main thread of the power grid throughout the country was officially completed at the beginning of the second year, laying the foundation for the promotion of power equipment.
Even if it is "pessimistic" estimate, the national sales of electric vehicles in 2018 will exceed 20177, an increase of 150% compared with 20177. According to the most "optimistic" estimate, the national sales of electric vehicles in 2019 will exceed 15 million, which is 1c times that of internal combustion engine vehicles; by 2025, the number of electric vehicles in the Republic will exceed 2, taking the lead in replacing internal combustion engine vehicles with electric vehicles.
In the end, it will be determined by the last key condition.
In 20177, the second phase of the first controlled fusion nuclear trial ended successfully, and all data exceeded expectations. The third phase and the last trial operation will end before the end of 20199. If the operation results meet the design indicators, the Republic will officially promote the fusion nuclear power plant from 2020.
2c At the end of 177, dozens of private and commercial enterprises applied for licenses to build and operate fusion nuclear power plants from the government.
If the promotion and construction of fusion nuclear power starts in 2020, the first batch of fusion nuclear power plants that are officially operated will be put into production before 2025. It will definitely become a fact that electric vehicles will replace internal combustion engine vehicles with electric vehicles. If there is a problem with the trial operation of fusion nuclear power plants and the formal promotion time is delayed, the promotion of electric vehicles will also be delayed.
Relying on large-scale infrastructure construction with industrial structure adjustment as the core destination, the Republic's economy improved first.
In 2018, the Republic's economic growth rate returned to the level before the outbreak of the financial crisis, with a year-on-year increase of 11. In the next two months, the year-on-year growth rate was above 1c%. By 7, as the European economy began to improve, exports also returned to positive growth driven by electric products represented by electric vehicles.
Everything is developing in a good way.
According to the most "optimistic" estimate, by the first quarter of 20199, the Republic will take the lead in getting out of the financial crisis, and then drive the world economy out of the financial crisis.
But, this is indeed too optimistic.
On July 211, 2018, after the acquisition negotiations with China SAIC broke down, General Motors announced that it would file for bankruptcy protection from the court.
The bankruptcy and reorganization were different in that year. The probability of General Motors going bankrupt was more than 80%.
The fall of General Motors was expected by the outside world. Since January 2017, General Motors has negotiated mergers and acquisitions with SAIC. The initial land opening price was RMB 22 billion, and half of the funds were paid in the form of technical patents. Speaking of January 2018, the differences between the two sides had decreased to 20 yuan. In 2018, the two sides basically reached an agreement. 23 major shareholders of General Motors sold 75% of their shares to SAIC for a land price of US$24.5 billion, with all GM's technical patents.
If the US federal government approves the merger and acquisition contract, General Motors will become China's industry.
In July, the federal government rejected the merger and acquisition case, requiring the two parties to renegotiate. GM then raised the sale price to RMB, and did not include patents registered in the United States.
As the result is conceivable, SAIC does not want General Motors’ employees but general technology.
After the negotiations broke down, only China's automobile factories and European Volkswagen Motor Company were able to acquire GM. Volkswagen's performance has always been bad. Not to mention buying GM for tens of billions of dollars, it would be good if it could not afford government loan assistance.
Since the US federal government does not agree to sell GM to SAIC, it will not sell GM to other Chinese auto companies.
In the event that no one acquires it, unless the US government injects capital, General Motors can only declare bankruptcy.
Based on actual situation analysis, the possibility of the US federal government injecting capital into General Motors will not exceed 20%.
Marked by the collapse of General Motors, the global financial crisis has evolved into a global economic crisis! (To be continued,)
Chapter completed!