Volume 8 Hundred Years of Resentment Chapter 4 Yes and No
Ordinary people, and even some media commentators who claim to be proficient in international relations, have to align with India, so that India can get rid of its dependence on China economically, replace China as India's largest trading partner, and make India pay more attention to its relations with Japan and have enough courage to fight against China...
This is the most obvious truth and the most unlikely purpose.
Like India, Japan is an "outward" economy, which relies heavily on import resources and urgently needs an export market. To replace China, it has to digest India's primary industrial products. For Japan, this is almost impossible. First, Japan has a large primary industry. If a large number of Indian products are imported, it will cause millions of Japanese workers to be unemployed; second, Japan's market size is far inferior to China's domestic consumption capacity, and the imported products that can be digested are very limited; third, Japan cannot replace China's position in India's foreign trade system and cannot provide India with high-end industrial products including electric vehicles, electric aircraft and other electric goods.
Affected by these three factors, Japan will never replace China in the economic field.
From another perspective, we will find that India's economic dependence on the Chinese market is actually a serious shortcoming in technology and industrial structure. The flaws have led to India's economic dependence on a certain "market economy" and has to cooperate with China economically, thereby avoiding confrontation with China politically.
Looking back at the development process between China and Japan, we can find that this situation exists in almost every country.
After World War II, Japan was completely dependent on the United States. In addition to being a defeated country and being occupied by the US military, it was closely related to Japan's industrial structure defects after the war.
It was not until the 9th century that the Japanese economy established a complete national industry system and had sufficient strength in the high-end fields that the Japanese economy fundamentally got rid of the United States and gained relatively independent and important international status.
China is no exception. Before the industrial link adjustment, China has avoided direct confrontation with the United States, often taking a evasive attitude on major international issues, and even tolerating the United States to establish a strategic blockade network in surrounding areas. It was not until the "electricity revolution" broke out and the power technology that led other countries entered the international high-end manufacturing field and broke the monopoly of Western countries over high-end manufacturing, that China truly took the stage of a big power.
As a country with a population of 1.7 billion, is there a lack of market?
The answer is obviously a fixed place. As long as India's economic strength is improved, India will definitely replace China at some point in the future and become the world's largest market country.
The problem is that before this, printing takes enough time.
More importantly, development is a very long process. It cannot be achieved overnight. In decades of development, India needs to import resources and high-end industrial products, naturally, export commodities. At least it maintains a balance of income and expenditure in trade to prevent the country from going bankrupt. Because India can only export primary industrial products with only value-added labor. Therefore, it needs a huge overseas market.
China is irreplaceable for India.
Conversely, for China, India can be a substitute.
Without India, China can also import cheap local primary industrial products from Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Nepal, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam, Cambodia, North Korea and other countries. These countries are also very happy to replace India to occupy the primary consumer goods market in China.
Under this circumstance, does India have the courage to confront China?
It is obvious that what India needs is not the market, but the technology required to adjust its industrial structure, especially the advanced technology required to produce high-end industrial products.
Only China can provide advanced technology to India, the United States and the European Union (at the end of the second year, the "European Power Technology Laboratory" jointly established by France and Germany has made breakthrough progress in advanced battery development projects and developed the first advanced battery with a performance of composite batteries. The European Union has become the third entity after China and the United States to produce advanced batteries).
China certainly will not provide India with advanced technology, nor even intends to provide India with relevant manufacturing processes.
For longer-term considerations, the United States has been retaining its sale of advanced technology. After India took the initiative to improve relations with China, the United States has increased its defense against India.
The EU is considering its own interests and has no intention of providing advanced technology to other economies.
Relying on its own strength, it is a question whether India can develop composite batteries within 20 years.
Of course, Japan also has this problem.
Although the first 2-stage composite battery was manufactured as early as 20199 by the University of Tokyo, Japanese researchers encountered insurmountable obstacles in subsequent research. It was not until 2026 that a Japanese scientist returned to China after working in the "European Power Technology Laboratory" for five years that Japanese scientists discovered that the top-secret information provided by the National Intelligence Agency several years ago had serious errors.
The difficulties did not intimidate the greatest prime minister in Japanese history.
In 20211, Sadashi Murakami officially visited India for the first time, and provided India with important agreements to provide India with important technologies required for economic development through transfer, providing study abroad scholarships to 15,000 Indian students every year, and funding domestic scientific research institutions in India.
After more than years of "preparation", after the Peninsula War, Sadashi Murakami increased his efforts in "public relations".
Delay is impossible. Because the basic industry is too weak, even if Japan provides advanced industrial technologies to India, such as high-precision CNC lathes, advanced metallurgy, electronics industry and other advanced technologies, India cannot transform it into actual industrial production capacity.
In May 2025, Sadashi Murakami visited India for the second time.
Taking advantage of this opportunity, hundreds of Japanese companies (mostly state-owned enterprises) sent representatives to New Delhi with the Prime Minister and signed hundreds of cooperation agreements with the Indian government and enterprises, of which more than half are related to high-end industries. According to the agreement, Japan will provide India with thousands of mid-level technologies needed to revitalize its industry in the next 0 years, including advanced electronic technology and automation technology that Japan is proud of.
This move will immediately achieve effective results.
In 2c26, Japan's trade volume with India increased by 57%, surpassing Russia and becoming India's fourth largest trading partner.
"... According to conservative estimates, trade with India will grow by more than 70% this year. We will surpass the EU and become India's third largest trading partner. By 2030, we will be second only to China and become India's second largest trading partner. According to the Indian export data we have, the proportion of high-end industrial products in exports exceeded 1 last year, and it is expected to reach 15% this year. At this rate, by 2030, India will become the most important exporter in South Asia, and its economic self-sustainment capacity will be improved to the above..."
Hearing Murakami Sasaki's dry cough, Tani Ryohei came to his senses.
The sets of data mentioned by Murakami Sakayuan, especially the estimated data, were all "copied" by the National Security Administration. Tani Kiriki Ryohei didn't know much about the basis.
"When will our power research project make a breakthrough?" Murakami Sadashi asked very directly.
"As fastest as 2030." Murakami Sakayuan returned very quickly. "Since last year, China has officially promoted products equipped with 8-level composite batteries in the civil market. Although China still has great restrictions on exports, such as all 8-level composite batteries can only be sent back to China or maintained in overseas factories designated by the Chinese government for maintenance, but China still has the largest market share when neither the United States nor the European Union can launch related products. In terms of power technology, the gap between us and China has not narrowed, but is expanding rapidly. If China makes a new breakthrough within three years, it is very likely to launch higher-level composite batteries to the international market to suppress its competitors, and we..."
"The key is the problem of whether there is or not." Sadashi Murakami interrupted his nephew and said, "If we cannot solve the most basic ones or not, how can we compete with China and catch up with China? The whole world knows that China can occupy the high-end market by relying on advanced power technology. Whether it is us or India, if we want to surpass China, we must make breakthroughs in power technology."
Murakami Sakayuan looked at Kirihiro Tani.
"We will urge the scientific research department to speed up the development progress."
"Scientific research has its own rules, and blindly urging it can only be hasty and fail to achieve it." Murakami Sadashi sighed and said, "The intelligence department should think of more ways abroad and not just focus on the country. Since we start late, we should try our best to make use of the scientific research results of other countries, first narrow the gap, and then try to catch up."
Tani Shuryo nodded and said nothing more.
Scientific research work has its own rules, and intelligence work also has its own rules. Besides, China, the United States and the European Union have both firmly held on their own technology and refused to share it. The Military Intelligence Bureau has not yet figured out the progress of the development of the United States and the European Union on composite batteries. No matter how powerful the National Security Bureau of Japan is, it will not be better than the Military Intelligence Bureau.
"We are not left with much time, and more and more evidence shows that China is preparing for the war at all costs." Sadashi Murakami glanced at the participants and said, "This is not a war we want to fight, but a war we have to fight. Last month, China just proposed a proposal to reduce nuclear weapons at the United Nations, and its finger was pointed directly at our country. The Minister of Foreign Affairs and Defense of my country have released winds on many informal occasions. If our country cannot give a positive answer to the destruction of nuclear weapons in the short term, China is likely to take decisive measures. Needless to say, this is a signal of war sent by China!"
Everyone's expressions became serious, including Ryohei Tani.
Sadashi Murakami breathed a long sigh and looked at the chief defense secretary Onozuka Shio Onozuka who was sitting next to Murakami Sakayuan. (To be continued,)
Chapter completed!