Chapter 13 Clues
On the 7th of the month, Da Chengyi went to the General Staff Sixth. After going to the Equipment Office, Pei Chengyi rarely returned to the General Staff. He had no work needs and never took the initiative to find Xiang Yinghui... It's not that Pei Chengyi and Xiang Yinghui have a bad relationship, but that he doesn't want to give others a wrong influence, making people feel that he has the wild fortune to win the throne of Chief of Staff.
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As usual, after arriving at the General Staff, Pei Chengyi did not have time to go to the Archives Office.
The efficiency of the Military Intelligence Bureau was amazing. All the materials were prepared in just one night and sent to the General Staff on time. After asking for a separate reading room, Pei Chengyi sent Dongfangwen away. When entering the electronic file, Pei Chengyi chose the normal reading mode. Although the three-dimensional display technology and voice reading technology had long been mature, Pei Chengyi was still accustomed to the traditional method when reading the files. Of course, electronic documents have replaced paper files. Except for extremely important files, all the materials are electronic files. Special files encrypted by hardware can only be opened on the designated computer. They can only be read at the designated location.
After watching for a while, Pei Chengyi discovered the problem.
In terms of military strength alone, Argentina has the most powerful army in South America. Even if we look at the entire Western Hemisphere, Argentina's military strength ranks in the top five. It can be said that this is the result of Argentina's efforts for many years. Since the old year of strength, Argentina's national defense modernization construction has lasted for a full year of strength. Although Argentina took many detours during this year of strength, such as in the first few years, because of quick success and instant benefits, national defense modernization put too much pressure on the country, which eventually led to the delay of the national defense modernization process for several years, but overall, Argentina's national defense modernization has achieved great success, which can be regarded as a model for the third world.
Only by comparison can progress be seen.
Vertical comparison, in the old years, Argentina, which was in peace, did not even have a decent force, the army did not have an advanced main battle tank, the main force of the air force was the 4 and Phantom IV developed and produced in the 1900-year era, and the navy had only a few offshore patrol ships; by the year of Liwu, Argentina had already had one of the best military forces in Latin America, and the army was moving towards lightening. The main force of the air force was the all-round fourth- and a half-generation fighter jets, and was introducing fifth-generation fighter jets. In addition to having no aircraft carriers and 10,000-ton large warships, the navy established three-dimensional tactical power from the air to the sea. It can be said without hesitation that Argentina, which has become a regional power, is already a major military power in the South Atlantic, except for the Republic and other global powers such as the United States.
The military strength of the stern boat is long surpassing that of Chile, Bolivia, Paraguay and Ula, and in some aspects surpassing Brazil. In terms of surrounding security, Argentina's defense power is already strong enough. Look far, compared with Britain in the North Atlantic, although Argentina's defense power is still lacking, such as lack of systematic combat capabilities and long-range strike power, it is impossible to pose a threat to the British mainland, but in terms of fighting for sovereignty on the island of Horse, as long as the scale of the war is controlled, Argentina's defense power cannot be underestimated.
Like the fundamental purpose of launching the national defense modernization construction, all Argentina's efforts over the past year were to regain the sovereignty of the Malvinas Islands. Whether it was the oil before Li Nian, or the rare metals now, Argentina and Britain would not easily give up the sovereignty of the Horse Island. During the national defense modernization construction, Argentina's basic starting point was not to recover the Horse Island by surprise, but to fight a large-scale war with Britain on the South Atlantic. It is precisely because Argentina's national defense modernization construction lasted for Li Nian, but still did not achieve the final results.
Although Pei Chengyi is not a politician, he can see the fundamental problem at a glance.
It must be admitted that war is the continuation of politics, and military forces are only means to ensure national interests. Therefore, national defense construction must obey the general environment and can only be carried out within the scope that the national strength can bear. Any military expansion operation that exceeds the basic strength of the country will not achieve good results.
There is no doubt that Argentina's defense modernization construction has gone in the wrong direction.
Although Argentina has the second largest land area in South America, the third largest population and the second largest economic strength, Argentina's comprehensive national strength ranks outside the blade and has not even crossed the threshold for developed countries. Just in terms of the basic security of the country, Argentina has no good concerns, but if he wants to defeat the former Empire of Sun-Dangdang, Argentina's strength is much worse.
The world is always developing and progressing, Argentina is progressing, and Britain is progressing.
Although the UK is far inferior to Argentina in terms of land area and resources, the UK is far superior to Argentina in terms of population, technology, economy, etc. In terms of military strength alone, Argentina is also far inferior to Britain. Even if it does not consider the UK's identity as a nuclear power, Argentina is not a rival to Britain in terms of conventional and naughty power alone.
It has to be admitted that Argentina's national defense construction had a great impact on the UK and even had a great impact on the entire world pattern.
In response to Argentina's military expansion operation, in the past year, Britain adjusted its basic national defense policy and gave up its long-term disarmament operation. It not only built three aircraft carrier battle groups for the navy, doubled the scale of attack submarine forces, but also accelerated the pace of lightening the army, and developed long-range air strike forces by participating in the United States' Ant Plan. Later, Britain sold three medium-sized aircraft carriers to India, with a displacement of more than 10,000 yuan. "Chasing the Class A aircraft carrier. It is also to cope with Argentina's comprehensive expansion of air power and bringing July 1st. It can be said without Argentina's defense modernization, Britain would never have expanded its army madly in the context of the global Great Depression.
The crazy military expansion operation has allowed Britain to maintain its military advantage and has had a great impact on Britain's foreign policy.
Fundamentally speaking, it is difficult for Britain to laugh at the end of the arms race with Argentina, because what Britain wants to defeat is not Argentina, but the Republic behind the support of Argentina. With the outbreak of the global Great Depression, the problems arising from the arms race are very prominent. Although in the short term, by expanding arms, it can effectively consume domestic excess materials and create more jobs, which will be of great help to promote economic development, in the long run, because the resources invested in military construction are not
Any output will inevitably have a negative impact on the economy in the end. As the first industrial country, an old empire that has experienced many economic crises, Britain has enough reason to believe. The arms race will inevitably end with Britain's failure. What is finally lost is not only the Falkland Islands British name for the Malvinas Islands, but also the future of the entire Kingdom of Great Britain. If Britain wants to laugh to the end, what it needs is not continuous military investment, but finding a strong backer that can compete with the Republic.
For the UK, there are only two choices, one is the EU and the other is the United States. Although the EU's development potential exceeds that of the United States and will definitely become the dominant force in the Western world in the foreseeable future, in the short term, the EU, which has not even completed political integration, not only does not have the strength to compete with the Republic, nor does it have the determination to compete with the Republic.
Britain has turned to the United States in diplomacy, and the impact of the Falklands crisis is insignificant.
Of course, from an objective standpoint, Britain's initiative to make concessions or even give up sovereignty on the island of Malay Island is the best way to resolve the crisis of Malay Island. After all, the United States is unlikely to directly intervene in the conflict between the British and Malay Islands, and the United States does not have the ability to defeat the Republic. The problem is that in reality, no matter the Labor Party, the Conservative Party, or the new Liberal Party, it is impossible to make any concessions on the island of Malay Island, and it is even more impossible to give up sovereignty on the island of Malay Island. The reason is very simple. Any concessions made by any British government on the island of Malay Island will question the legitimacy of its existence and eventually lose its power, and the newly-employed British government will definitely take a tough stance.
As a major power, Britain's foreign policy has an unaffordable impact.
It is also OK that the Republic is the most willing to take advantage of the Falkland crisis, but the United States. Because through the Falkland crisis, the United States can easily control Britain, and then use Britain to influence the EU's political integration process, so as to make the EU a member of the American system as much as possible, rather than quickly becoming a unified country that can compete with the United States. For the EU, Britain is a pain that cannot be erased. Although France, Germany and Italy have always clamored to achieve political integration while abandoning Britain, anyone who understands the history of Europe knows that without Britain's participation, Europe would not be able to achieve unification. You must know that as early as the Napoleon era, Britain had fought against the entire European continent by its own strength. Although Britain is no longer a thug in the century, Britain still has strong influence and is still an impossible or missing part of Europe. In the foreseeable future, European countries still have to win over Britain at all costs and complete political integration with the participation of Britain. Ultimately achieve unification.
The problem is here.
From the standpoint of the United States, although it is not willing to see a war breaking out between a certain South American country and an allied country, without a choice or with a demand for more important interests, the United States will definitely give Britain the support within its ability, thereby strengthening its control over the United Kingdom and making Britain an important part of the restraint of the EU. In this case, even if the Republic will provide Argentina with its ability to support it, it will only offset the influence of the United States at most. In other words, Argentina must defeat the United Kingdom with its own strength. Even if the EU's attitude is not taken into account, the hope of Argentina's victory over the United Kingdom will not be much greater.
It can be seen from this that Argentina should not regard a full-scale war as the fundamental purpose of building an army.
Although no one can deny that Argentina and Britain have the possibility of a full-scale war, in a full-scale war, neither Argentina nor Britain can become the ultimate winner. More importantly, with the participation of the republic, the United States and the European Union, it is impossible for Argentina and Britain to break out. Because a full-scale war cannot bring benefits to any third party.
Just like Pei Chengyi's view, Argentina should base itself on a quick battle and a quick decision.
Fundamentally speaking, Argentina can only hope to win the final victory if the war is controlled within the scope of regional conflicts. As long as the scale of the war is lost, Argentina will definitely become the ultimate loser. Fortunately, the situation in Britain is very similar to that of Argentina. It will also try its best to control the scale of the war. In other words, Argentina has the basic conditions for quick battles and quick decisions. As long as the military action is firm and decisive, it is possible to force Britain to accept the fait accompliment in a compromised way, thus turning military confrontation into a more "moderate" political struggle.
After reading Argentina's purchase list, Pei Chengyi couldn't help but feel a little discouraged.
In the past few years, Argentina has not found any serious mistakes.
In the procurement list sent by the Argentine military visiting delegation, long-range fighter jets, multi-purpose destroyers, attack submarines, and electric artillery systems are still at the forefront. In other words, Argentina is still making the most of the total war.
"Work 4. It is only a large enough military operation to recover the island of Ma. If you stand on the standpoint of the Republic, Pei Chengyi would definitely not have any other ideas.
Not to mention anything else, the total value of this procurement list exceeds that of thugs, such as 100 million yuan. It is enough to allow more than half of the military-industrial enterprises in the Republic to be busy for several years, create tens of thousands of labor positions, create tens of billions of profits for enterprises, and create tens of billions of tax revenue for the country. More importantly, even if Argentina purchases this batch of weapons and equipment, it cannot immediately send troops to attack the Horse Island, and it will take at least several years to familiarize themselves with and master new equipment. A few years later, when the combat effectiveness of the Argentine army was improved, it was ready to purchase more advanced weapons and equipment.
The problem is that Pei Chengyi cannot consider the issue from the perspective of the Republic this time.
The war is approaching, and when the relevant conditions are ripe, the hope for peace is already very slim. Although Pei Chengyi has not yet come into contact with the most core secrets, according to Yu's judgment, the war will break out at the end of the year at the latest. If the preparations are in place in time, it is very likely that the first shot will be fired sometime in the second half of the year. There is no doubt that the Republic cannot let Argentina lose this war, and it cannot let Argentina continue to go on the wrong path.
In just one morning, Pei Chengyi "developed" a new procurement list.
Long-range fighter jets are necessary, but the procurement quantity must be greatly reduced. According to Pei Chengyi's view, the key to the Argentine Air Force's acquisition of air supremacy is not how many advanced air fighters have, but whether it can defeat the British fleet at the beginning of the war. More importantly, mastering advanced fighter jets requires sufficient pilots and enough time, while the Argentine Air Force does not have too many excellent pilots, and there is not enough training time. If the government agrees to sell a squadron of small old series fighter jets, up to two squadrons can ensure air supremacy. Of course, the prerequisite is that the Argentine Air Force must have a group of excellent pilots with excellent qualities and extraordinary abilities. The problem is here. If the Argentine Air Force does not have excellent pilots who can perform the performance of small old fighter jets, the Republic must consider providing necessary additional help.
There is no need to purchase multiple-pass destroyers at all, except for the construction cycle of large warships that lasts several years; the Cabernet Island is close enough to Argentina, and there is no need to use surface warships to seize sea control power. Aviation and submarines can ensure sea control power. It is too late to purchase attack submarines. After all, the construction cycle of submarines is constantly. More importantly, the Argentine Navy has the most powerful underwater fleet in the entire southern hemisphere. As long as the combat effectiveness of existing submarines is exerted, the Argentine Navy can carry the British fleet.
Staying outside the Cambridge Island. The electromagnetic gun system is not of high value. After all, the maximum range of the current electromagnetic gun is less than 1,000 meters, and the Cambridge Island is more than 1,000 kilometers away from the Argentina. More importantly, the electromagnetic gun system is too large, especially the energy supply system, which cannot be tactical airlifted, and it will not be safely sent to the Cambridge Island. If the Argentine Air Force and Navy can defeat the British fleet, they will not fight ground battles with the British Army at all, and there is no need to purchase electromagnetic gun systems specifically used to deal with ground targets.
According to Pei Chengyi's idea, Argentina's procurement work must focus on two aspects.
It is to increase the procurement of advanced ammunition. After all, the Indian War has proved that with the advancement of technology, the original offensive ammunition has lagged behind in the face of various defense systems. Especially in naval warfare, with the popularization of forced electromagnetic interference systems, the role of anti-ship missiles has been greatly reduced. Without advanced ammunition, the Argentine Air Force will definitely repeat the same mistakes, using primitive means to deal with the British fleet armed to the teeth, just like half a century ago. More importantly, purchasing advanced ammunition can maximize the strength of the military system without making major adjustments to the existing combat system and put the combat effectiveness of the entire army to the limit.
The second is to accelerate the lightweight construction of the army and strive to build a fast assault force at the fastest speed.
Although Pei Chengyi did not believe that a large-scale ground war must be used to determine the final victory or defeat, and even believed that large-scale ground battles must be avoided as much as possible, in the early stages of the war, Argentina had to seize the Cavaliers at the fastest speed, turn the occupation of the Cavaliers into a fait accompli, and then concentrate its efforts to defeat the British fleet at sea to force Britain to accept the reality, and finally, in the favor of Argentina, the two sides would negotiate a ceasefire. To achieve this goal, Argentina must have a fast assault force capable of launching a sudden attack. There is no doubt that this would be a light ground force similar to airborne troops or air assault forces.
When Pei Chengyi thought about this problem carefully, he realized that the problem was far from what he thought.
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Not to mention anything else. Even if Argentina has airborne troops, it will take an air transport force that is not too small to send the assault troops to the Malay Island. Not to mention that third-rate countries like Argentina do not have strong tactical air transport power. Even a second-rate power like Britain does not have strong enough air transport forces. Although there is no problem with Argentina purchasing transport aircraft from the Republic, this move will bring a lot of trouble and must be thought twice.
It was busy until evening. Pei Chengyi left the General Staff
Chapter completed!