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May 10: leaning on the sword and singing a glass of wine, the northwest of the clouds is Shenzhou (11)

"Xiao Shen, for what reason did you judge that the Soviet Union might have disintegrated? You should know that a few months ago, although there was a chaos in the Soviet Union, if Gorbachev had not made frequent moves, the situation in the Soviet Union might not have been possible. I can say with certainty that, except for you, no one at home and abroad had expected that the Soviet Union would collapse so much to disintegrate and split. Can you tell me what was the basis for your judgment at the beginning?" Liu Dingbei frowned slightly and asked with a puzzled look on his face.

Liu Dingbei asked the doubts in the hearts of many people here. What was the basis for Chen Yangmei to judge that the Soviet Union would disintegrate? The turbulence in the domestic situation of the Soviet Union touched the sensitive nerves of many people in China. Although the Chinese people were not enlightened at this time, everyone understands whether the Soviet Union is present or not, for China, both foreign and domestic policies will undergo qualitative changes.

Especially those here, most of them grew up with China and the Soviet Union during the honeymoon period. They were impressed with the greatness of the "Big Brother of the Soviet Union" when they were very young. The subsequent tension between China and the Soviet Union happened to break out in their youth. It can be said that the most important memories in their growth process were more or less related to the Soviet Union, and they naturally felt that they loved and hated the Soviet Union. But whether they admitted it or not, the Soviet Union was always pressing on China like a mountain in their hearts. With the same socialism and the same organizational system, China has actually followed the Soviet Union, Xiao Gui and Cao followed, looking forward to replicating the success of the Soviet Union and recreating the glory of the Chinese nation.

But at this moment, the Soviet Union collapsed and ended with a major problem in economic reform. Although it happened, they could not understand in their hearts why the powerful Soviet Union went to division without any warning. What was the internal factors and some were affected by external factors? Although since the collapse of the Soviet Union, those articles and remarks that jumped out to analyze the cause of the collapse of the Soviet Union are common, but it is difficult to convince people by retrospectively retrospectively. Naturally, everyone really wanted to hear Chen Yangmei, how the only person who successfully predicted that the Soviet Union would split and disintegrate at that time analyzed it.

Chen Yangmei turned his head to look at Lin Zhitian. Lin Zhitian understood what he meant, and nodded with a smile, saying, "Since you Uncle Liu is so interested, can you just talk about it? Maybe you can give you Uncle Liu some inspiration and advice."

"Since this is the case, it is better to show my clumsiness than to hide ugliness. Let me briefly talk about my thoughts." Although he felt a little ashamed because he was foresighted, he also understood whether he could leave a deep impression on Liu Dingbei. It depends on his performance today. Liu Dingbei, who is expected to win the position of the Nine Elders in the future, is not ashamed to ask. How many people are there? Fortunately, before preparing that article, he did his homework to prepare for today's problems. He had some real materials in his mind. At this moment, he organized his language in his heart and said slowly: "The reason why the Soviet Union has come to this day is nothing more than four reasons. The first is historical factors... and the second is political factors... ...,The third is economic factors...,The fourth is ethnic factors..., Of course, these are some of my personal analysis, and some of them are still from my speculation. After all, the collapse of the Soviet Union was still too short, and many related archives and materials have not been declassified. We outsiders do not understand some of the secrets in the Soviet Union's reform process, especially in the later period of the reform, in the turbulent situation of the social situation, why the leaders of the Soviet government did not take any effective measures, especially the Gossip. As Uncle Liu mentioned at the beginning, such a frequent trick was not like a person who had mastered the giant ship of the Soviet Union for five or six years." In the end, Chen Yangmei changed the subject and turned back to Liu Dingbei.

As Chen Yangmei finished speaking, the few people present breathed a long sigh. Even at this time, there were many "hindsight" articles and remarks in China discussing the reasons for the collapse of the Soviet Union. However, more than a decade later, many economists and political scientists conducted profound analysis on the reasons for the collapse of the Soviet Union. How could those analysis written temporarily be compared with Shen Yangmei's conclusions drawn from countless articles in later generations that studied the cause of the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Chen Yangmei's in-depth and easy-to-understand analysis made the people present listen unknowingly. After listening to Chen Yangmei's speech, he subconsciously breathed a sigh of relief.

"Wen you, your words are better than reading for ten years!" Liu Dingbei nodded repeatedly and sighed, "Okay, very good, young people are terrifying. The younger generation has a young man as outstanding as you, and the future of our China is promising!" Liu Dingbei said, gently patting his palms to cheer for Chen Yangmei's words. The eyes of the other people were full of praise, and they all agreed with Liu Dingbei and encouraged their palms.

Faced with the praise of everyone, Chen Yangmei, who was as thick as a city wall in his two lives, was also a little red-faced. However, when he received such a high evaluation from Liu Dingbei, Chen Yangmei felt that this trip was not worthy, but he still said hurriedly: "Don't praise me anymore, uncles, don't praise me anymore. When I dared to publish that article, it was mostly out of fearlessness of the ignorant. Later, facing attacks from all directions, even Uncle Lin was implicated with me, and I still felt scared until now. If I do it again, I may not have the courage."

Chen Yangmei's words made Liu Dingbei and others laughed out loud.

"As the saying goes, " Zhao Xin smiled, but then looked at Liu Dingbei thoughtfully, and continued, "Xiao Shen, your cold water is just right, so that people like Lao Liu can wake up. They shouted about reform and reform all day long, as if they regarded reform as a magic pill to strengthen the country and enrich the people. This time the collapse of the Soviet Union sounded the alarm for us. We must take it as a warning. Remember not to be eager for quick success and instant benefits. The reform plan still needs to be slowed down!"

Chen Yangmei had long heard from Zhao Xin's words just now that Zhao Xin was a neutral faction who was old and had a country in charge. Perhaps he was a little conservative, so it was not surprising that he said this.

Liu Dingbei turned his head to look at Zhao Xin, and said with a wry smile: "Old Zhao, why don't I argue with you today, but you don't have to ridicule me like this. It just so happens that Xiao Shen is here today. Let's listen to Xiao Shen's opinions and see what attitude he has towards reform?"

"Haha..." Zhao Xin was also happy after hearing Liu Dingbei's words and said, "Doesn't Xiao Shen's article express his opinions clearly?"

"I don't think so!" Liu Dingbei said, looking at Chen Yang's eyebrows meaningfully and continued, "Xiao Shen, since you think the Soviet Union's economic reform will end in failure, this path of the Soviet Union is destined to not work, of course, the facts prove that it is the same. Then you might as well talk about how our country's next economic reform should avoid repeating the Soviet Union's mistakes and what to do next."

"Uncle Liu, you are too arrogant to me. How dare I guess such things..." Chen Yangmei waved his hands and said hurriedly. Of course, he understood what China's reform and opening up policies were, but those all came from the wisdom of the No. 1 leader. If he took Liu Dingbei's words rashly and said something he shouldn't say, no matter how brave he is, he would not dare to steal the wisdom of the leader, so he would naturally refuse.

"Oh! Xiao Shen, just say it, just say it, what if you say it wrong? Are there any outsiders present today? Don't worry and boldly say it, I want to hear your opinions!" Zhao Xin interrupted Chen Yangmei's words and encouraged with a smile.

"Yes, Xiao Shen, I don't believe you don't have any opinions from you. Do you want to ask you for advice?" Liu Dingbei also said with a smile.

"This..." Chen Yangmei touched his nose with a little embarrassed expression. Fortunately, another article of his was released long ago. He could only throw out the views in another article first. "Actually, I think Uncle Zhao misunderstood me. My first article before had no intention of opposing reform at all. The focus of my work in Qingshan Town during this period was that I have always advocated economic reform and achieved certain results."

Zhao Xin was slightly surprised after hearing Chen Yangmei's words. Instead, Liu Dingbei looked confident, and seemed to have guessed that Chen Yangmei would say such words long ago.

"I have also said the reason for the collapse of the Soviet Union. It is very complicated. Even my analysis is probably hard to describe one or two of them. But it is definitely not caused by reform and opening up, or reform and opening up just intensified the hidden deep-seated problems in the Soviet Union, and in a certain sense shortened the process of coup in the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union's own ethnic conflicts, the greed of the Russian race such as elite groups or their government cadres and businessmen occupying the upper level of the economic base, have all taken a large part of the factors, coupled with external factors, especially a series of plans led by the US government..."

"The purpose of reform and opening up is to improve the living standards of the people. This is a step that our country must take at present. Now the entire external world, especially the Western countries led by the United States, has entered a stage of rapid economic development with the process of economic globalization. If we cannot take the initiative to go out, integrate into it, become part of it, and catch up, then one step behind is to fall behind step by step, which may make the gap between the two sides bigger and bigger. To put it seriously, the final result will be devastating and we cannot bear it. Therefore, at this time, we are too entangled in the path of capitalism or socialism. As long as the Chinese Party is in power, I think the kind of problem we are afraid of will not appear, and the planned economy and market economy are not the essential difference between capitalism and socialism." Chen Yangmei can only try to avoid those sensitive topics, focus on global economic integration in future generations, and explain the necessity of reform and opening up from another level!
Chapter completed!
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