(According to the request of book friend "Ghost Fire Burning Incense", the current hot topic of Sino-US trade war was analyzed. In fact, there is nothing to analyze. Some experts had already interpreted it in a vest a few years ago. The text is as follows:)

Neither Hillary nor Trump can change the fate of the United States' decline. Not to mention them, no one can do it, because the general trend cannot be changed.

Of course, Trump is better than Hillary because he is more pragmatic than Hillary. Trump has seen the decline of the United States and has also tried to find the cause and solution to the decline. Hillary is stubborn and does not admit the decline of Midi, nor does he intend to accept the decline of Midi, and wants to continue to cause trouble.

Trump's coming to power can be said that he was late or early.

What does it mean to go late? If you follow Trump's policy and policy, it will not be *** after 2008, but Trump. The situation in the United States will be much better than it is now. Although it may not be able to turn the tables, it will not be so far on the road of overdrawing the credit of the US dollar and the lack of return of the US national strength.

So in this sense, Trump is late on stage.

Why do you say he was too early to go on stage? It is because the American elite and the people have not yet accepted the reality of the decline of the United States, which has led to some of Trump's ideas being realized at all.

For example, if the infrastructure construction Trump wants to do is hopelessly achieved after 2008. At that time, the total amount of US Treasury bonds was only a few trillion US dollars, but now it is nearly 20 trillion US dollars.

Where did Trump raise money to build infrastructure now?

Increase taxes? Whose taxes are added? The middle and lower classes are already poor. Can the regime controlled by the bourgeoisie significantly increase taxes on themselves? It is almost impossible.

Printing money? The base currency of the United States is now 6 times that of 2008. If you print money again, do you still need the credit of the US dollar? Are you planning to follow the footsteps of the gold coupon?

Borrow money? Who can lend you such a large amount of money? Because the prices of American goods are high, if you want to drive US economic growth and to build infrastructure, you must at least have a scale of hundreds of billions of dollars?

The world economy is in a sluggish economy, and the original source of the oil dollar, the Middle East, has also fallen into an income crisis due to the sluggish oil prices. It is already good if the United States does not pay back the money. Where can I still have the remaining money to lend it to the United States?

The only person who has the ability to lend money to the United States on a large scale is China! Because China is now the largest industrial country, the largest commodity producer and exporter, it is not difficult to lend hundreds of billions of dollars to the United States.

But China wants to continue to lend money to the United States, which requires the United States to exchange real interests.

What the United States can bring out now is hegemony and hegemony appendages. As I said earlier, if the United States is willing to exchange hegemony and hegemony appendages, China is willing to pay $10 trillion to do this transaction.

With this ten trillion US dollars, we can first solve the debt crisis and over-issuance of currency, and then controllable currency depreciation, and then solve the problem of deindustrialization. The dollar's current currency value is too high, and there is no chance to reflow the manufacturing industry.

But is the United States now mentally prepared to exchange hegemony and hegemony appendages? I don’t think it’s yet! It will take a few more years.

Will Trump's coming to power fight a trade war with China?

I think the possibility is extremely low. It is certain that there is a trade dispute, but it will not go beyond the scope.

Because Midi no longer has the capital for a trade war!

Let’s start with large-scale social production. If the people of industrialized countries want to live a good life and have sufficient goods, the population size of the entire economy must be one billion. Even if a large country with a population of more than one billion like China is the only country in the world with a complete range of industrial categories, China cannot be indifferent because China’s per capita resources are insufficient and it needs to be imported from abroad.

The United States has only 300 million people, which is far from meeting the demand for producing all commodities. Many commodities cannot be produced because of insufficient population and cannot be produced, so they must be imported from abroad.

If the United States imports from other countries, then compared with China's high quality and low price, the prices of these imported goods will inevitably rise sharply. Who will bear the increased costs? The middle and lower classes of the United States are already poor and destitute. If their production and living costs are increased, their living standards will inevitably decline and even be unsustainable. These are Trump's supporters. Trump's supporters who betrayed him are originally political amateurs, so they have become lonely.

This is not scary. What is scary is that class contradictions will inevitably intensify further, and the United States is in danger of civil strife or even disintegration.

Besides, why do Americans have to pull China into G2? Isn’t it because they have left China’s support or no opposition that the US hegemony can be maintained?

If the United States falls with China, then the US hegemony will not be preserved. China now has enough cards to make the United States unable to resist.

Now is very different from the World War II period. During World War II, any industrial country could produce most of the world's commodities, and now there are too many types of commodities than during World War II, and there are too many industrial categories than during World War II. The only thing that can be barely achieved is China.

This is a factor that we must refer to when considering international political, economic and military issues.

Take military as an example. How many countries can produce all weapons and equipment independently? You can count them with one hand! The only two countries, China and the United States, are now unable to keep up with Europe and Russia.

The reason why the United States can do it is because many of its civilian industrial products rely on imports and resources are concentrated on military use. If the United States also relied on its own to produce all industrial products and weapons and equipment like World War II, the United States would not do it because the population was too small.

Before World War II, although there were not many countries that had completed industrialization, it was still feasible to produce all types of weapons and equipment.

The United States now relies on itself and not on its allies’ support. It is hopeless to fight a trade war or a conventional weapon war with China!

...

Why is China so keen on signing free trade agreements with other countries? Why are other countries willing to sign free trade agreements with China?

It is because there are more and more types of goods now, and countries with a small population cannot produce all the goods at all. Or the production cost is also extremely high!

It is impossible for a few people like New Zealand and Australia to produce all kinds of goods. Many commodities must rely on imports.

Xin Australia has a small population and a large resource, and exports resources and exports agricultural and mineral products. This is the advantage of Xin Australia. China has a large population and a small per capita resource, so doing production is China's advantage.

Therefore, China, New Zealand, Australia and other countries sign free trade agreements, which is mutually beneficial and win-win, and is beneficial to both sides.

In the future, the types of commodities will only increase. In order to develop trade barriers, trade protectionism, and close the country, there will be no future and will only become more and more marginalized.

Those who think that Trump will take office and ZTE will revive the United States are nonsense! Those who have these views have forgotten that *** also shouted CHANGE; YES, WECAN and other slogans have also tried to ease relations with Russia and have also tried to close relations with allies, but what is the result?

*** Has the opposition relationship with Russia changed? *** Has the relationship with European allies been restored?

None.

Why can't Nirvana be achieved?

The United States' economic model is blood-sucking and is destined to be unable to support this strategic concept---to join forces with other countries to deal with China.

If Americans want to change this blood-sucking economic growth model, they must revitalize manufacturing. If they revitalize manufacturing, they must first reduce the dollar value. In order to reduce the dollar value, other countries will be unwilling to hold US dollar and US dollar assets, which will lead to a US dollar credit crisis and a debt crisis.

The three major difficulties of the dollar currency over-issuance debt crisis and de-industrialization are linked together. To resolve one of the crises, it will trigger the other two crises.

If you want to resolve these three crises, you can only solve them as a whole. Americans have only two ways to go, one is China's collapse and the other is to give up hegemony.

It is a fantasy to expect China to collapse. Americans are reluctant to give up hegemony. Then these three major difficulties will only become more and more serious, which will lead to the United States increasingly need to suck blood from the outside.

To suck blood from the outside, the United States must provoke conflicts or wars outside and force funds to go to the United States.

Therefore, when Trump comes to power, he will only follow the old path of *** without China collapse and Americans are reluctant to give up hegemony.

When the United States puts down the burden of hegemony, these three major difficulties will have hope of solving them, and the relationship between the United States and other countries will be truly eased.

Trump was not in charge of the family at the beginning and didn’t know how expensive it was. When he was in trouble in international politics, he knew that his job was not a good job.

In the words of the Sentence Bureau, Trump is the first president to bring the US economy from the world's leader to the second.

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That’s probably what I think. The view from two years ago is accurate. How can I say this kind of article? Just like a book friend in the book review area said, “I was confused when I read it, but I really enjoy it.”…
Chapter completed!